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First 2018 NFL Mock Draft by William - 9.25
Published at 9/25/2017 4:10:52 PM

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Overall Grade: C-
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Total Grades: 4
Average Grade: C-
Millen  Bill

Round 1

Picks 1-16
1. Bengals: Josh Allen, Quarterback, Wyoming

Whether or not Allen, Darnold or Rosen are the first QB taken or the first pick is far from settled. I like Allen as the best passer based of his play in college, but most would agree that if that were the only criteria, DeShaun Watson would have gone ahead of Mitchell Trubisky. If all three declare, it will probably be decided during the predraft process. If the Bengals liked McCarron enough to not take a QB high, we would have seen him more on the field by now.

2. Colts: Harold Landry, Defensive End, Boston College

Yes really, ahead of Arden Key and Saquon Barkley. Both are better pure talents, but I expect Landry to blow up the predraft process like Khalil Mack and Vic Beasley did, and Key's injury history scares me. The Colts also think they have an answer at RB in Marlon Mack, even if I'm skeptical.

3. 49ers: Josh Rosen, Quarterback, UCLA

Which California quarterback would the 49ers take if Josh Allen is off the board? That might be a very real discussion that we're having for the next six months. Give me Rosen's ability under pressure over Darnold's arm talent .... for now.

4. Jets: Sam Darnold, Quarterback, USC

Elite arm talent isn't something the Jets have had this decade. Whether or not Darnold will develop between the ears is still up in the air, but that question will be settled prior to the draft.

5. Browns: Derwin James, Safety, Florida State

James is the real deal, and compares favorably to Jamal Adams. Cleveland is still a year or two away, and adding an incredible talent like James would do wonders since they're not under pressure to draft a QB for once.

6. Browns: Saquon Barkley, Running Back, Penn State

When was the last time a team had back to back top ten picks? Barkley looks like a future all-pro, and Cleveland saves a small amount of money by drafting him one pick later than James, since rookie runningbacks make more money than safeties under the CBA.

7. Bears: Dante Pettis, Wide Receiver, Washington

Don't laugh - Tavon Austin went this high and he wasn't half the product Pettis was. This WR class is pretty similar to 2013 - it's weak. Pettis at least can offer game change speed and agility, and maybe make kickers fear sending it to a Chicago returner again.

8. Jaguars: Connor Williams, Offensive Tackle, Texas

The offensive line was never fixed in the Bradley era, and it's still broken under Doug Marrone. Connor Williams could fix it overnight.

9. Saints: Arden Key, Defensive End, LSU

The injuries scare me, but that kind of fits right in with New Orleans' draft strategy from previous years. Increasing pressure is a fine way to help the ailing secondary, and Key could go a lot higher than this if not for the skill players available that other teams will reach for.

10. Bills: Minkah Fitzpatrick, Safety, Alabama

I remember watching Fitzpatrick while scouting Marlon Humphrey and thinking, can I draft Fitzpatrick right now? You won't find a smarter, more NFL ready defensive back, and that's not an easy position to make the transition to. I see Fitzpatrick as a corner, but who knows what NFL teams will want out of him.

Picks 1-16

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