2017 NFL Mock Draft by bison5peat - post-combine with trades
Published at 3/11/2017 9:33:24 AM
Here's my updated first-round mock, with trades, based on team need, prospect value and prevailing opinion as well as some ideas of my own. Please let me know about the team(s) that you follow more closely, and any picks that you agree or disagree with. Please comment, and feel free to rate.
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I want to project a team trading up here for Myles Garrett and Cleveland collecting picks. But I just can't work out any situation in my mind where Cleveland would pass over Garrett without adequate compensation or move very far back, and I can't pick a team that makes sense to trade up a pick or two or so. So common sense dictates the Browns taking Garrett here.
There's one top-tier DT prospect in this draft class, and it's Allen. He could end up being the best pick of the draft, especially if Garrett goes to Cleveland.
I don't think any QB is worth taking this high, as there's likely all more like second-round talent. But that hasn't stopped other QBs from being taken this highly. However, I think the Bears see starting potential in Mike Glennon and don't want to send mixed signals by taking a QB this high. And they could get a great defensive talent. I like Jamal Adams here as a solid starting safety with a lot of upside for the Bears, especially since this is definitely a need for them.
This could be a good spot for a trade, as the Jags have plenty of needs (especially along the OL, which has little value here). It might be hard for the Jags to avoid addressing the OL in the first round. The likely propect to trade up for here is Leonard Fournette. The Panthers are a team that might be likely to do this, since pairing him with Cam Newton could be pretty sick. And if Fournette is as good as advertised, it'd be well worth it. If the Panthers give up their 2nd round pick, that should be more than enough. Or it could a different creative combo of picks.
Although the Titans have addressed CB in FA, they could still take a CB here if he's among the best available, as it was a weak area of the defense last year. Lattimore has a very nice skill set and ran well at the combine, so there's a great chance he'll be the top CB chosen.
As far as QBs go, the Jets likely won't take a QB this high. Especially when there's not so much value. And the Jets might want to give Hackenberg a chance to play. If they stay at this pick, they're likely to address their defense. With Lattimore off the board, the pick here very well could be Hooker. He's a very talented safety who could be among the best players of this draft class.
With the two top safeties off the board, the Chargers could address their pass rush here. Thomas is likely to be the first taken, but it should be as a 3-4 OLB (which is what the Chargers need). Thomas doesn't have the versatility that Bosa has, but he should be a solid pass-rushing OLB.
The Jags traded back from 4 to get this pick. They need a lot of help on the OL, and they might not want to risk trading down again (especially with the Bengals and other teams in need of OLmen). So, they could very well take the best available OLman, especially at tackle. Bolles had a great combine, had good interviews, and has good film. He wouldn't be pushed into starting at LT unless he was ready, but he could be a good one.
The Bengals have a need at DE, and most of all they love big DEs. Charlton is as big as they come and has solid pass rushing ability and potential. He'd be a solid pick here.
The Bills have Watkins but lost Woods and could use a WR here. Although CB could be addressed here, finding weapons for Taylor after re-signing him make sense. The first WR chosen could very well be Ross, who is fast and was a very productive college WR with a skillset that translates well to the NFL. Think a faster and more polished Percy Harvin, but without the headaches.
As much as the Saints need pass rushers and have holes elsewhere, they really need to address the LB position. Foster is a top 10 talent and would be good value here, plus he'd fill a position of need.
If I'm going to project trades, why not have the Browns trading for Jimmy G? Perhaps they would trade this pick, a second this year, and a second next year. Or perhaps they would be so desparate that they would trade this pick and a future first round pick. That could make the Patriots pretty happy, if they're anticipating the possibility of parting ways a year down the road with Jimmy G (or just happy to collect high picks).
With the Cardinals picking next, if a team has a signal caller that they really want, they might want to swoop in here. And it just so happens the Patriots are sort of into trading (back) in the draft. There are definitely a few teams that could make sense here, but the Redskins could be the most likely option--especially if Cousins isn't re-signed to a long term deal before the draft (or is traded). The Redskins would probably need to give up their 3rd round pick and a later round pick, although the Patriots might want their second round pick instead. The sort-of consensus first QB is Trubisky, so the Redskins could take him here.
This is likely the last year for Palmer and Fitzgerald in Arizona, so the Cardinals would be smart to carefully investigate the QB prospects of this class. It would be nice to draft a QB and let him learn under Palmer for a year, unless he takes big steps forward and is ready to start. With Trubisky taken a pick earlier, the Cardinals may feel urgency to take their chosen QB right away--especially if they've narrowed it down to Trubisky and another QB. I think the QB that could step in and succeed best, if called upon this year and definitely next year, is Deshaun Watson. Watson has confidence, has elevated the talent around him, and has a great physical skillset. There are a few issues to iron out, but he could wind up being pretty good.
The Eagles have done a lot to improve their WR position, which was important. Therefore their attention could turn to the CB position, where there is value and talent. Sidney Jones has a great skillset and is polished enough to be an instant starter if needed.
As much as the Colts might want a RB here, I think they choose to better protect Luck if there is value. Ramcyzk has some injury issues currently, but he is otherwise a great tackle prospect. If the Colts don't address OT significantly before the draft, Ramcyzk makes sense here.
The Ravens could go in a number of different directions here, including CB and WR. Based on value, I think the Ravens go with Williams here. Flacco is definitely in need of some young WR talent, so Williams definitely helps a lot.