2017 NFL Mock Draft 1 by Todd1989 - 2.13
Published at 2/13/2017 5:14:43 PM
MOCK WITH TRADES Grading system: 90+ worthy of top five pick 85+ worthy of top half pick 80+worthy of first round pick
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PROSPECT GRADE 86.91
Thanks to Myles Garrett’s video begging the Dallas Cowboys to take him instead of Cleveland I’ve had to absolutely rip up what I had done of this mock draft. I don’t see the Browns taking Garrett with that attitude, or Garrett accepting a place on the Cleveland roster, think Eli Manning and the San Diego Chargers. Trubisky is fundamentally the most accurate Quarterback entering this year’s draft and I have him graded considerably higher than both DeShone Kizer and Deshaun Watson as a result. Cleveland’s needs are endless but if they don’t address the QB issue in free agency I have Trubisky going #1.
NEEDS: QB, WR, DT, OL
PROSPECT GRADE 103.00
If I’m San Francisco, the prospect of Garrett falling to #2 because he doesn’t want to play in Cleveland is both mouth-watering but also concerning. Sure, he would more readily sign for the 49ers if he legitimately is worried about playing “somewhere cold” like Cleveland, but that in itself suggests a certain attitude problem which hadn’t been considered something we should associate with Garrett. Nevertheless, the man is a freak athlete and the best prospect in the draft, and it would be crazy for him to fall any further.
NEEDS: QB, OT, EDGE, WR
PROSPECT GRADE 92.16
Chicago are a team I expect to come into this draft with a new QB fresh from free agency (Tony Romo, perhaps?), but if not, I think they take whichever of Deshone Kizer or Mitch Trubisky falls to them here and hope for the best. I personally like this Bears’ defense (at least in comparison to their offense) but this is a defense-heavy draft and I get the impression that the Bears would feel they were reaching on Mike Williams or Corey Davis here, if they were looking to give their new QB weapons. Allen is a great talent but I do have concerns as to where he will slot in (DE or DT) and the respective size issues these positions present.
NEEDS: RB, WR, CB
PROSPECT GRADE 96.83
JAX receive 2017 1st and 2nd round picks, 2018 5th Round pick, 2019 2nd round pick
I don’t necessarily think the Eagles trade up to get Fournette, but I think one team does, and Philly are one of those that could do so- along with Detroit, NYG and potentially Carolina, if they sense he might be off the board before the eighth pick comes along. Following the emergence of Ezekiel Elliott and the effect he had on the Dallas Cowboys, I expect one of Fournette or Dalvin Cook to go in the top five of the 2017 NFL Draft, with teams looking to recreate Dallas’ change in fortunes by virtue of an outstanding rookie running back. Fournette is the player I am most intrigued to see come draft day as theoretically he could be picked anywhere in the first ten, without it being too surprising. And, of course, he happens to be the best offensive prospect in this draft, providing injuries don’t get the better of him, so will offer a huge, instant boost.
NEEDS: CB, S, WR
PROSPECT GRADE: 92.95
Tennessee should, and probably do, feel like this is a free blue-chip prospect, following last year’s trade with the LA Rams, leaving them with picks number 5 and 18 to add to an already playoff-calibre roster. If Tennessee had only one pick in the first round, I’d expect them to go for Malik Hooker, but considering they can play it safe with both their first round picks to ensure roster improvement, I say they don’t take the risk on Hooker’s injuries, and instead take Adams, who while graded lower than Hooker, still scored my fifth highest prospect grade.
NEEDS: QB, OL, CB
PROSPECT GRADE: 93.91
With Revis Island a far less daunting prospect than it was a year ago, New York need to find his successor, and in a Cornerback heavy draft, Lattimore is the number one CB. A ball hawk, with all the physical traits you could want at the positon, I don’t see how Lattimore slips out of the top ten. Of course, the Jets are yet another team in desperate need of a Quarterback- and fast- but I expect that to be addressed in free agency, as the Jets often like to go BPA come draft day, and therefore wouldn’t want to reach on a QB.
NEEDS: OT, WR, OLB, S
PROSPECT GRADE 86.91
Most people are mocking Malik Hooker here, and although I have him as the third best player in the draft, I fear he slides due to injury. Thomas could potentially address the Chargers’ problems at linebacker, but more likely would be drafted in the hope he could form a formidable tandem with Joey Bosa for years to come.
NEEDS: OT, CB, DL, RB
PROSPECT GRADE 83.37
While slightly smaller in stature than most NFL teams would want in an NFL linesman, Ramczyk’s footwork make him a much better prospect, in my eyes at least, than Cam Robinson. Carolina did a horrible job of protecting their Cam (Newton) last year, and so have to reach for an offensive lineman here, if Leonard Fournette is off the board, or consider trading down, of course.
NEEDS: LB, OL, S, DE
PROSPECT GRADE 92.03
However good this year’s defensive draft class, Reuben Foster is indisputably its best inside linebacker by a considerable distance. Coincidentally, Cincinnati need to sort out their run defense, and Foster would be a brilliant step towards doing that. With New Orleans also looking at linebackers, #11 is the lowest Foster can feasibly fall.
NEEDS: QB, WR, CB
PROSPECT GRADE 79.03
While many see Kizer as the best QB prospect in this draft, I don’t think he is pro-ready and would not make this pick if I were Buffalo, then again I would not be letting Tyrod Taylor hit free agency if I were Buffalo, but they are. Kizer has too slow a release for the NFL and is very susceptible to interceptions, I think his very flat passing technique will extenuate that in the Pro-game. While he certainly could go on to be a good starter based on his arm strength and mobility, I would grade him as a second-round prospect.
NEEDS: LB, CB, DE, OG
PROSPECT GRADE: 88.58
I seem to be in the minority of Saints’ fans when calling for a CB at #11, while P.J. Williams and Delvin Breaux are both returning next season, (hopefully) who’s to say they will be back at their pre-injury levels or even will stay fit? The Saints’ secondary was torched last year in most games really, particularly struggling to stop the pass on 3rd downs, and a playmaker like Lattimore, if he were still available, would make a big difference. All the same, Barnett is a great player and extra pressure on opposing QBs would lighten the workload of the Saints’ CBs who are playing. Funnily enough, New Orleans picking Deshaun Watson or O.J. Howard here would not surprise me, or Fournette if he fell, as Loomis and Payton are known to spring a surprise come Draft Day.
PROSPECT GRADE: 94.62
As I said at #5, I am huge on Malik Hooker, but if teams are worried about his injury problems he could well fall. Don’t forget Myles Jack was expected to go in the top five last year but Jacksonville picked him up on day two. Regardless, Cleveland would be delighted if they could pick up Hooker here, as he is a phenomenal prospect and, as with most positions, they are lacking in quality at safety.
NEEDS: WR, QB, CB, DE
PROSPECT GRADE: 85.95
I personally have Corey Davis as my number one receiver in this draft, but completely understand why many would go for Williams ahead of him. A receiver the size of Williams is obviously going to be a huge red-zone threat and his ability to win contested balls is not too dissimilar to that of Mike Thomas, whose impact in his rookie season is what Arizona would be hoping for with the selection of Williams.
NEEDS: OT, RB, LB, CB
PROSPECT GRADE 79.91
I’m not a Cam Robinson fan. He lacks the agility to become an elite tackle, in my opinion, and I expect that to be exploited more in the pro game. All the same, I am an Andrew Luck fan, and, as they did last year, the Colts must go into this offseason and address his protection.
NEEDS: OL, DL, RB, TE
PROSPECT GRADE: 87.62
Jacksonville really need to upgrade their offensive line, and if one of Cam Robinson or Ryan Ramcyzk were to fall here after this proposed trade, I’d say Jacksonville would go for them. I have Jacksonville trading down because I have Jonathan Allen- who I think the Jaguars would love- going to the Bears, and I don’t see them giving up on T.J. Yeldon enough to warrant them taking Fournette at #4, someone will want to do so though, so trading down makes sense. Howard is a huge prospect and would immediately offer Blake Bortles more at Tight End than Julius Thomas has the previous two years, even though it looks like Thomas will be staying in Jacksonville. Howard is so physically gifted that he could end up being an all-pro tight end in his rookie season.
NEEDS: DE, WR, OLB, OG
PROSPECT GRADE: 86.84
I love this pick. As I’ve said, I have Corey Davis graded higher than Mike Williams (although I still expect Williams to be picked earlier) because Davis has better hands, which is ultimately what a WR needs most. Davis is a great route runner, very physical, and will come in and produce from the off. Baltimore’s receiving corps is very weak now that Steve Smith has retired, and Davis could well go straight in as their WR1.