The Colts are in a great position to trade this pick, as there will be quarterback-needy teams desperate to move up. If Indianapolis stays put, it'll have a ton of options, including Trey Adams and Saquon Barkley.
However, I think Arden Key would be the choice. The Colts surrendered 46 points to the Rams in Week 1, so even Andrew Luck's presence wouldn't have even helped much. Indianapolis has no pass rush to speak of, and Key would definitely help in that regard.
Rd. 2, Pk. 2
Jerome Baker, OLB, Ohio State
The Colts did little to help their very weak inside linebacker group, which struggled to defend tight ends and pass-catching running backs last year.
Jerome Baker was second on Ohio State in tackles last year, taking advantage of the injury to Dante Booker. Baker has a great combination of speed and athleticism.
Some years of bad moves by former general manager Ryan Grigson, like trading a first-round pick for Trent Richardson and blowing one on Bjoern Werner, are coming back to bite Indianapolis. The Colts have a ton of needs on their talent-deficient roster, including edge rusher, running back, cornerback, defensive line, linebacker, and more offensive line talent. The defense is in horrible shape, so Indianapolis could take the best defensive player available regardless of position. McKinley isn't the best player available, as I know some teams that graded him in the mid-rounds, but the Colts have shown a ton of interest in him, including general manager Chris Ballard spending a lot of time with McKinley.
McKinley is a pass-rushing specialist who enjoyed a breakout senior season. In 2016, he racked up 61 tackles with 18 tackles for a loss, 10 sacks, three forced fumbles and six passes batted. It was a big improvement over his junior year when he recorded 35 tackles with 4.5 sacks, two forced fumbles and four passes broken up. McKinley was a backup as a sophomore, but had 2.5 sacks.
For the NFL, the 6-foot-2, 250-pounder's body type would fit best as a 3-4 outside linebacker. He could play right defensive end in 4-3 scheme, but would have to be rotated regularly and could struggle to defend against the run. In college, McKinley had a high motor, but he would get destroyed against the run regularly. He also lacks pass-rushing moves, is very tight, and is a one-trick pony speed rusher. Thus, I think he has some bust potential.
Rd. 2, Pk. 2
Malik McDowell, DT/3-4DE, Michigan State
The Colts continue to build up the talent on their defensive line. They need a disruptor at the point of attack, and McDowell could make a significant impact at five-technique. Indianapolis has hosted him on a visit, and I think this could be a great value for the Colts in the second round.
McDowell totaled 34 tackles with seven for a loss and just 1.5 sacks in 2016, but was very disruptive with pressure on the quarterback. He was a backup in 2014, but broke out in 2015. At times during that season, McDowell was the Spartans' most disruptive defensive lineman. He totaled 41 tackles with 13 for a loss, 4.5 sacks, two forced fumbles and a pick-six on the year.
The 6-foot-6, 295-pounder has a lot of upside to develop. Teams love his skill set, but have concerns about his work ethic in the weight room and motor. They also feel that McDowell seemed to be protecting himself in his final games. They question his desire to be great and love of football. Still, he would be a perfect fit as a five-technique in a 3-4 defense. Sources from multiple teams have McDowell as a high first-round talent and like him more than Arik Armstead and similarly to DeForest Buckner.
Rd. 3, Pk. 3
D'Onta Foreman, RB, Texas
The Colts could use a running back to eventually replace Frank Gore.
Foreman was a beast in 2016, rolling over defenders while averaging 6.3 yards per carry for 2,028 yards with 15 touchdowns. He wasn't much of a receiver with seven receptions for 75 yards, but Foreman is a load as a runner who can run over the opposition. The 6-foot, 233-pounder is a power back for the NFL, and sources have said that Foreman really impressed them in 2016.
Rd. 4, Pk. 4
Howard Wilson, CB, Houston
The Colts could use more talent at corner, plus they have Vontae Davis in a contract year.
Wilson (6-1, 184) was a surprise early entry in the 2017 NFL Draft as he was not expected to skip his final two seasons of college football. The NFL Draft Advisory recommended that Wilson go back to school. He probably will be a mid-round pick, but he has a good skill set. In 2016, Wilson notched 54 tackles with 10 passes broken up and five interceptions. He could be a sleeper corner who ends up being a nice value pick.
Rd. 4, Pk. 4
Anthony Walker, OLB/ILB, Northwestern
The Colts need to improve their roster all over the place. Here is some linebacker help.
In 2016, Walker recorded 105 tackles with 10 for a loss, four forced fumbles, two sacks, five passes broken up and one interception. Sources say they liked Walker (6-1, 238) more as a player in 2015. He was 20 pounds heavier in 2016, and sources feel that the extra weight severely degraded his speed and explosion.
Prior to his weight gain, Walker was a fast sideline-to-sideline defender. He functioned well in man coverage and was very dangerous in zone. Walker had a great 2015 season as he totaled 122 tackles with 20.5 tackles for a loss, three sacks, four passes batted, one forced fumble and one interception.
Rd. 4, Pk. 4
Eddie Jackson, S, Alabama
The Colts continue to build up their defense with a free safety upgrade.
Jackson recorded 24 tackles with two passes broken up, one interception that was returned 55 yards for a touchdown, and two punts returned for touchdowns in 2016 before a broken leg ended his season after eight games. The 6-foot, 194-pounder massively improved after a move to safety from cornerback for 2015. He had six interceptions, 46 tackles and two passes broken up there at the former that season. Jackson looked more natural in coverage as a safety. As a sophomore corner, Jackson totaled 41 tackles with six passes broken up and one interception. He had 19 tackles with two passes broken up and a pick in 2013. Jackson needs to continue to add weight to play in the box and tackle in the NFL.
Rd. 5, Pk. 5
De'Veon Smith, RB, Michigan
The Colts could use multiple running back upgrades. Smith is a good fit and will help protect Andrew Luck.
<i> 2017 NFL Mock Draft Pick (as of 11/25): Adoree' Jackson, CB </i>
The Colts could use an upgrade at running back badly. <br> <br>
Barkley has been excellent this season, and NFL sources have already said they think he's a stud back for the next level. The sophomore has averaged 5.6 yards per carry for 1,205 yards and 14 touchdowns so far this year. He also has 19 receptions for 316 yards and two touchdowns. <br> <br>
Barkley was very impressive as a freshman in 2015 when he averaged 5.9 yards per carry for 1,076 yards with seven touchdowns. He also caught 20 passes for 161 yards and a score. Barkley was very impressive running for 194 yards on 26 carries against an Ohio State defense loaded with NFL talent. The 5-foot-11, 223-pounder is a tough runner with a burst. <br> <br>
<u> <i> Pick change; previously Quincy Wilson, CB </i> </u>
After the depth acquired and moves made this offseason it looks like something happened to Andrew Luck for the Colts to selecting this early. This is a result of the offense being 100% dependent of him for success and thats not the way an offense should operate. The Colts need to give Luck the running game he hasn't had in his career, his starting running backs have ranged from Vick Ballard to the bust Trent Richardson to the very much aging Frank Gore, who just cannot preform at a top level anymore. They drafted Marlon Mack who will steal carries from Gore, but can't carry the load by himself. After the 2017-18 season Gore is a free agent and will likely retire unless another poor soul signs him to be their running back, and now makes an even bigger hole at running back. Guice has shown great running skills when he's played, but now with Leonard Fournette gone he can show he full ability and could challenge Saquon Barkley for the spot at best running back in the class. Guise can take pressure off of Luck and create a more balanced offense in Indianapolis.
If Andrew Luck is hurt I would be tempted to just keep him on the sideline until I am absolutely certain he is healthy to play if I were the Colts. Even then I would be hesitant due to their leaky line, bad defense, and lack of a run game. A good way to take pressure off of Luck is giving him a defense that can slow down opposing offenses so he does not have to throw 40 plus times a game.
Key is a talented pass rusher who is a quick twitch athlete. I think he would be a lock top pick if not for off field concerns surrounding him. If he stays clean and interviews well he will be the top edge rusher in the draft. The Colts would love to have him thanks to their lack of pass rushers across the board.
The Colts signed John Simon and Jabaal Sheard, but both of them are rotational pass-rushers and edge defenders. Indianapolis needs a lead pass-rusher to build around. <br> <br>
Landry (6-3, 250) had an impressive junior season as an edge rusher for Boston College, recording 16.5 sacks, 22 tackles for a loss, seven forced fumbles, four passes batted and 51 tackles. He contributed as a sophomore with 60 stops and 4.5 sacks. Landry would fit best as a 3-4 outside linebacker in the NFL. <br> <br>
<u> <i> Pick change; previously Minkah Fitzpatrick, S/CB </i> </u>
The Colts need more offensive line talent to protect Andrew Luck. <br> <br>
Ivey blocked well as a sophomore, showing improvements in pass protection and run blocking. The key for him is to stay healthy and gain experience, as he has a ton of potential. Ivey was a five-star recruit coming out of high school and validated the ranking with an impressive freshman season. He was an effective starter at guard for Florida with his natural athleticism. <br> <br>
Ivey (6-5, 312) could use more power for the NFL, but he was only 18 during his first season. He has plenty of time to get stronger despite having shoulder surgery after the 2015 season. Ivey might move to left tackle in 2017 with David Sharpe leaving for the NFL.