Week 8 notes...Hey guys, I unearthed some interesting situational trends/angles for this week. First off, road teams coming off of a tie are 0-7 SU and ATS the following week, losing by an avg. of 19.3 points. This makes sense considering they played an entire extra quarter, and now have to travel. This puts Seattle and Arizona in very tough spots. Seattle has to go on at 10 AM local time against Drew Bress. The Saints are averaging 36 PPG at home this season. Seattle's defense was also on the field for 47 minutes on Sunday! That's like playing a game and a half in one night. The Cardinals have to face a Panthers team coming off of a bye. Teams off a bye are 34-15 SU against teams who just played an OT game...I like how Walter lists Carolina as an underrated team. They are only giving the standard 3 points this week, and the public isn't really betting on them that much as of right now. They final appear to be a in a decent betting position....On to the New England game. Under Belichick, the Patriots are 10-2 ATS and 11-1 SU in regular season revenge games. With Brady, they are 8-0 SUATS. Brady didn't play in the first game against the Bills, but he should be completely focused considering this is his first game vs. an AFC East foe since his return. And finally, the last four times New England was looking for revenge in the regular season, they won by a combined score of 166-51! Trends and angles don't mean everything, but I still wanted to pass along this info.
The Ravens send the Chargers their 1st and 3rd rd picks this yr and next for their 1st rd pick
The Cowboys send QB Romo to the Jest for their 2nd rd pick
The Dolphins sned QB Tanneyhill to the 49ers for their 2nd rd pick
The Bears send QB Cutler to the Dolphins for their 2nd rd pick
Minnesota Twins at Boston Red Sox. Line: Twins +185; Red Sox -200. 7:10 PM ET (Game 961-962)
It's no surprise that the Red Sox were swept in Texas. Their hot start was pretty unrealistic, and they're bound to regress to the norm. Considering they have no available bullpen tonight, the Twins at +185 looks like a decent deal. This line should probably be -170/+160.
I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.
Chicago White Sox at Texas Rangers. Line: White Sox +105; Rangers -115. 8:05 PM ET (Game 923-924)
The NFL Draft is over, so I'm now ready to lose money betting baseball. The Rangers look like a solid play today, as my projected line for them was -125. Texas has been the hotter team, while Chris Sale has not pitched as well on the road.