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Posted April 22, 2010

2010 NFL Draft Class Predictions

2010 Draft Class Predictions

I wanted to get some of my thoughts down on paper (or on the computer screen). I have strong convictions about how I evaluate talent, and while I have my mistakes, I don't think I'm making many errors with my following predictions for the 2010 Draft Class:

Jimmy Clausen will be the best quarterback out of the 2010 NFL Draft. Sam Bradford is going to St. Louis and will be forced to work as a rookie whether he is prepared or not. I think Clausen will end up in Pittsburgh, Arizona or Minnesota. He could even fall to the second round, but I don't care. Clausen is the best quarterback in this draft and I have very high expectations for him.

Colt McCoy and Tim Tebow will have minimal impacts in the NFL at quarterback. Tebow will eventually be converted to fullback after he fails miserably as a quarterback. Colt McCoy's lack of arm strength, decision making and intermediate accuracy will be magnified at the next level much like Brian Brohm. Both could be first-round picks, but I think both will be failures at the next level. However, if McCoy ends up in Denver, he could be a successful player because that offense is so easy to execute.

Damian Williams will shock many people in the NFL. He got absolutely no hype, but Williams is an elite route runner with amazing hands and ball skills. He is sneaky athletic and does damage after the catch. He knows how to get open and I think he can be a No. 1 receiver at the next level. Everyone else is hyping up Demaryius Thomas, but Williams is my guy and I'm sticking to him. Some team is getting an absolute gem in Rounds 2 or 3.

This running back class will be looked at in hindsight as relatively weak. Ryan Mathews can't make people miss or break tackles. C.J. Spiller is a great No. 2 back, but he doesn't profile as a No. 1. Jahvid Best is a two-down back with durability concerns. Toby Gerhart's running style is too high and he has marginal athleticism. Joe McKnight can run in the open field, but he has overrated vision, blocking and toughness. I hate this running back class and I think it's overrated.

Brandon Graham will be a good player, but he's overrated. Players who have midget arms really struggle getting off blocks and around tackles at the next level. When you combine this with a minimal burst and average athletic ability, I think you have an overachiever who will struggle early in his career in the NFL.

Jerry Hughes will be better than Sergio Kindle. I love Hughes. He has a motor and he puts in a great second effort as a pass rusher. I love his burst and explosion off the edge, and he has a plethora of pass rush moves. Kindle on the other hand had mediocre production as a senior and can't get off blocks.

Eric Berry will be an All-Pro. I didn't say Berry would be a Pro Bowler. I didn't say he'd be a top 10 safety. I said Berry will be an ALL-PRO. Berry defines what my five-star elite grade is all about. He is super-competitive and has outstanding physical tools and production. If he isn't one of the best safeties in the NFL within three years barring injury, I'll be disappointed in myself as an evaluator.

Anthony Davis will be out of the league in six years. He doesn't care about football and he has serious problems staying in top condition. He will be in his coaches' doghouse his entire career and ultimately will be known as one of the biggest busts in this draft class.

Andre Roberts is going to have a great rookie year. He has great hands and is a suberp route runner. He will find a way to make an impact early on.

Matt McGuire's Recent NFL Draft Blog Entries:

Analyzing Andrew Luck's Decision - 1/7
Luck vs. Locker - 9/15
Top 10 Quarterback Busts - 7/7
NBA Draft vs. NFL Draft - 6/27
Six Sophomores Who Need to Step Up - 6/2
Kentucky 2010 NBA Draft Prospect Blog - 6/1
Brett Favre Retirement Conditions - 5/30
2010 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year - 5/24
2010 NFL Power Rankings Tier - 5/21
2010 NFL Power Rankings - 5/18
NFL Mailbag: C.J. Spiller and Buffalo Bills Reaction - 5/14
LeBron James Game 6 Reaction - 5/14
The Buffalo Bills - 5/13
LeBron James: Celtic Pride - 5/13
The JaMarcus Russell Lesson - 5/11
Most Productive 2010 NFL Rookies - 5/6
Double Down - 4/30
2010 NFL Draft Observations and Telecast Blog - 4/26
2010 NFL Draft Grades: Day 3 - 4/25
2010 NFL Draft Grades: Rounds 1-3 - 4/24
2010 NFL Draft Grades: First Round - 4/23
2010 NFL Draft Trade Analysis - 4/23
Random Round 1 Thoughts and Analysis - 4/23
2010 NFL Draft Class Predictions - 4/22
2010 NFL Draft Trades - 4/21
Response to Mike Mayock's Redskins-Trent Williams Comment - 4/8
Teams Misevaluating Their Own Quarterbacks - 4/6
Where Will Jimmy Clausen Go? - 4/5
2010 NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 Picks - 3/25
Gerald McCoy's Draft Range - 3/12
NFL Draft Picks Are Business Investments (Anthony Davis) - 3/11
Offense Matters - 3/9
Mel Kiper vs. Todd McShay Debate Revisited - 3/8
Taylor Mays - 3/3
"He's a Winner" ... Not Really - 3/2
Quarterback Height (Jimmy Clausen) - 2/25
The Top Five Reasons the Redskins Won't Pass on Jimmy Clausen - 2/22
2010 NFL Draft: All-Overhyped and Underrated Teams - 2/18
Matt Ryan and the Rams - 2/17
Prospect Case Study: Tim Tebow - 2/11
2010 NFL Draft Offensive Grades - 1/20
Tim Tebow at the Senior Bowl - 1/14
Junior Quarterbacks/Jimmy Clausen - 12/29
2010 NFL Draft Prospect Updates - 12/21
The Michael Oher Lesson - 12/20
Cameron Heyward's Ceiling - 12/17
Jake Locker to Return for Senior Season - 12/15
Top Four Scenario - 12/8
"Suh" is Elite - 12/7
Carlos Dunlap Update - 11/11
Player to Watch - 10/30
Alpha Quarterback - 10/29
2010 NFL Draft Mailbag - 10/28
O Bradford, Where Art Thou (Draft Stock)? - 10/27
The Trojan Torpedo - 10/26
Quarterback Mobility - 10/23
Charles Brown's Stock on the Rise - 10/18
Mays-Clausen and Gaines Adams - 10/17
Mr. Overrated - 10/14
2010 NFL Draft Cursed? - 10/8
Conservative Carroll - 9/22
The Crabtree Lesson - 9/21
Scouting Notes: Weeks 2-3 - 9/20
Terrelle Pryor - NFL QB? - 9/15
Jay Cutler Trade Evaluation - 9/14
THE Choke State University - 9/13
2009 NFL Predictions - 9/10
2009 College Football Predictions - 9/3
The Brett Favre Line - 8/20
Why Vick Hasn't Signed - 8/12
The Vince Young Lesson - 8/10
Vegas NFL Power Rankings - 8/9
Dorsey Fat - Chiefs Stupid - 8/7
Eli Manning: The $100 Million Man - 8/6
Predicting Future Needs Part II - 8/4
NFL Draft Moved - 7/24
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