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Posted March 11, 2010

NFL Draft Picks Are Business Investments (Anthony Davis)

If I gave you $4 million to invest, would you invest that money into a company that didn't care very much about what they were doing? Would you be confident about investing in a business that didn't care about customer service, their product, employee relations, employee performance and leadership?

I doubt you would - you might as well throw the $4 million into a fire.

But what if this company had a lot of upside? Would you still be willing to lose the $4 million if you could get a large return in a couple years? It's a massive risk.

How can a company that doesn't care become profitable? It's almost impossible for that to happen.

So why should we evaluate NFL Draft prospects any differently? In translation: How can an NFL player be successful if he has a very mediocre work ethic, doesn't love the game, doesn't take the process seriously, and is immature?

I really don't see how a player of this nature can be successful when you consider how hard all the players and teams work in the NFL. Even if you have a great skill set, you will be nothing unless you put in the time and effort.

Not only this, but do you really want to bring in a player with no work ethic who will be a bad influence in the locker room?

We live in an age where everything is politically correct in the media, and often people are extremely gullible and will believe any excuse. But when you go behind the closed doors of an NFL team meeting, I highly doubt anything is politically correct in terms of prospect evaluation. Serious questions are discussed and teams generally don't believe what they perceive are lies.

This blog was written in the direction of Rutgers offensive tackle Anthony Davis. Davis has had a reputation for a very poor work ethic and immaturity in his collegiate career. He showed up to training camp last year very out of shape, was demoted, then performed very poorly early in the season.

At the Combine, he again showed up out of shape and looked sluggish in drills. How does a very athletic offensive tackle nearly fail to crack a 5.40 40-yard dash? I'm not big on the 40, but everyone needs minimal standards.

Furthermore, I've been told by a couple sources that in the interviews, Davis didn't own up to the question marks and things scouts found out about him.

Now, he doesn't show up to his Pro Day because he was "sick" and had a "hamstring." Oh, and he refused to weigh in.

All signs point toward Davis not working out at all and showing no desire to be in shape for his Pro Day.

I don't discriminate when I evaluate prospects. I gave the lazy, immature, overweight Alabama tackle Andre Smith a third-round grade and I will do the same for this Rutgers product.

Players who don't care about the game and have zero work ethic just don't pan out in the NFL - especially after they earn a million-dollar paycheck.

Some team is going to Draft Davis in the first round, but don't be shocked if he falls to Arizona or Dallas in the late first.

I personally see bust written all over Davis. He has too many red flags, and when you disrespect NFL teams and the NFL Draft process, odds are you will do the same once you're making millions.

If Davis isn't coachable in college, then he isn't coachable - period. And if Davis doesn't care about football in the NFL Draft process (when that is what every prospect at this time is eating, sleeping and breathing), then he just doesn't care.

Draft picks are business investments, and the business in this case is an NFL franchise. I don't like throwing away first- and second-round picks on players who don't care, so I would let some other team deal with Davis and I'll pick a player who not only would be appreciative, but also could help me win on Sundays and will put in the work to be great.

Matt McGuire's Recent NFL Draft Blog Entries:

Analyzing Andrew Luck's Decision - 1/7
Luck vs. Locker - 9/15
Top 10 Quarterback Busts - 7/7
NBA Draft vs. NFL Draft - 6/27
Six Sophomores Who Need to Step Up - 6/2
Kentucky 2010 NBA Draft Prospect Blog - 6/1
Brett Favre Retirement Conditions - 5/30
2010 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year - 5/24
2010 NFL Power Rankings Tier - 5/21
2010 NFL Power Rankings - 5/18
NFL Mailbag: C.J. Spiller and Buffalo Bills Reaction - 5/14
LeBron James Game 6 Reaction - 5/14
The Buffalo Bills - 5/13
LeBron James: Celtic Pride - 5/13
The JaMarcus Russell Lesson - 5/11
Most Productive 2010 NFL Rookies - 5/6
Double Down - 4/30
2010 NFL Draft Observations and Telecast Blog - 4/26
2010 NFL Draft Grades: Day 3 - 4/25
2010 NFL Draft Grades: Rounds 1-3 - 4/24
2010 NFL Draft Grades: First Round - 4/23
2010 NFL Draft Trade Analysis - 4/23
Random Round 1 Thoughts and Analysis - 4/23
2010 NFL Draft Class Predictions - 4/22
2010 NFL Draft Trades - 4/21
Response to Mike Mayock's Redskins-Trent Williams Comment - 4/8
Teams Misevaluating Their Own Quarterbacks - 4/6
Where Will Jimmy Clausen Go? - 4/5
2010 NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 Picks - 3/25
Gerald McCoy's Draft Range - 3/12
NFL Draft Picks Are Business Investments (Anthony Davis) - 3/11
Offense Matters - 3/9
Mel Kiper vs. Todd McShay Debate Revisited - 3/8
Taylor Mays - 3/3
"He's a Winner" ... Not Really - 3/2
Quarterback Height (Jimmy Clausen) - 2/25
The Top Five Reasons the Redskins Won't Pass on Jimmy Clausen - 2/22
2010 NFL Draft: All-Overhyped and Underrated Teams - 2/18
Matt Ryan and the Rams - 2/17
Prospect Case Study: Tim Tebow - 2/11
2010 NFL Draft Offensive Grades - 1/20
Tim Tebow at the Senior Bowl - 1/14
Junior Quarterbacks/Jimmy Clausen - 12/29
2010 NFL Draft Prospect Updates - 12/21
The Michael Oher Lesson - 12/20
Cameron Heyward's Ceiling - 12/17
Jake Locker to Return for Senior Season - 12/15
Top Four Scenario - 12/8
"Suh" is Elite - 12/7
Carlos Dunlap Update - 11/11
Player to Watch - 10/30
Alpha Quarterback - 10/29
2010 NFL Draft Mailbag - 10/28
O Bradford, Where Art Thou (Draft Stock)? - 10/27
The Trojan Torpedo - 10/26
Quarterback Mobility - 10/23
Charles Brown's Stock on the Rise - 10/18
Mays-Clausen and Gaines Adams - 10/17
Mr. Overrated - 10/14
2010 NFL Draft Cursed? - 10/8
Conservative Carroll - 9/22
The Crabtree Lesson - 9/21
Scouting Notes: Weeks 2-3 - 9/20
Terrelle Pryor - NFL QB? - 9/15
Jay Cutler Trade Evaluation - 9/14
THE Choke State University - 9/13
2009 NFL Predictions - 9/10
2009 College Football Predictions - 9/3
The Brett Favre Line - 8/20
Why Vick Hasn't Signed - 8/12
The Vince Young Lesson - 8/10
Vegas NFL Power Rankings - 8/9
Dorsey Fat - Chiefs Stupid - 8/7
Eli Manning: The $100 Million Man - 8/6
Predicting Future Needs Part II - 8/4
NFL Draft Moved - 7/24
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