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Posted March 2, 2010

"He's a Winner" ... Not Really

When I was watching the 2010 NFL Scouting Combine on the NFL Network a couple of days ago, I wanted to literally bang my head against a brick wall. I was disgusted with some analysis coming from three former NFL head coaches, Steve Mariucci, Brian Billick and Jim Mora Jr.

They were talking about Texas quarterback Colt McCoy, and all of three of them loved McCoy. Mora went on to rave about McCoy's high school and college record.

Excuse me? Did a former NFL head coach just compare high school to the NFL? Comparing high school football to the NFL is like comparing preschool to Yale.

I'm sorry, but it's very absurd that a television audience has to listen to three former NFL head coaches gushing over a college quarterback because (get ready for it) ... "He's a winner."

That's right - this wasn't talk radio from amateur fans. These were NFL head coaches - supposedly the cream of the crop when it comes to knowledge of the game.

Just because you won in college has nothing to do with whether you will win in the National Football League. Just because you won in college does not mean you possess the physical skill set to succeed at the next level. Just because you won in college and your superstar team dominated vastly inferior competition doesn't mean you will be able to beat Pittsburgh and New Orleans on Sundays.

I don't feel like I should have to defend my point with examples because basic logic and brain usage should be enough - but just to stop this debate I'll go ahead with this list of former college quarterbacks and their records as starters:

Pat White: 34-8
Brian Brohm: 24-9
Colt Brennan: 27-10 (including 12-0 in regular season as a senior)
Troy Smith: 25-3 (plus Heisman)
Vince Young: 30-2
Matt Leinart: 37-2 (plus two National Championships and Heisman)
David Greene: 42-10
Joey Harrington: 25-3
Ken Dorsey 38-2

List of Heisman quarterbacks (who were winners):

Jason White
Eric Crouch
Chris Weinke
Danny Wuerffel
Charlie Ward
John Torreta
Andre Ware

The only good quarterback on this list so far is Vince Young - and it took him three years to figure out the professional passing game. Being a winner in college didn't translate to automatic results in the NFL for him.

To say Colt McCoy, Tim Tebow, or any other mediocre quarterback will win in the NFL because they won in college is absolutely ridiculous. You would think the NFL would have advanced in the last decade from a scouting perspective, but when former head coaches give us this kind of analysis I really start to doubt how smart some of these guys are in the league.

Matt McGuire's Recent NFL Draft Blog Entries:

Analyzing Andrew Luck's Decision - 1/7
Luck vs. Locker - 9/15
Top 10 Quarterback Busts - 7/7
NBA Draft vs. NFL Draft - 6/27
Six Sophomores Who Need to Step Up - 6/2
Kentucky 2010 NBA Draft Prospect Blog - 6/1
Brett Favre Retirement Conditions - 5/30
2010 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year - 5/24
2010 NFL Power Rankings Tier - 5/21
2010 NFL Power Rankings - 5/18
NFL Mailbag: C.J. Spiller and Buffalo Bills Reaction - 5/14
LeBron James Game 6 Reaction - 5/14
The Buffalo Bills - 5/13
LeBron James: Celtic Pride - 5/13
The JaMarcus Russell Lesson - 5/11
Most Productive 2010 NFL Rookies - 5/6
Double Down - 4/30
2010 NFL Draft Observations and Telecast Blog - 4/26
2010 NFL Draft Grades: Day 3 - 4/25
2010 NFL Draft Grades: Rounds 1-3 - 4/24
2010 NFL Draft Grades: First Round - 4/23
2010 NFL Draft Trade Analysis - 4/23
Random Round 1 Thoughts and Analysis - 4/23
2010 NFL Draft Class Predictions - 4/22
2010 NFL Draft Trades - 4/21
Response to Mike Mayock's Redskins-Trent Williams Comment - 4/8
Teams Misevaluating Their Own Quarterbacks - 4/6
Where Will Jimmy Clausen Go? - 4/5
2010 NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 Picks - 3/25
Gerald McCoy's Draft Range - 3/12
NFL Draft Picks Are Business Investments (Anthony Davis) - 3/11
Offense Matters - 3/9
Mel Kiper vs. Todd McShay Debate Revisited - 3/8
Taylor Mays - 3/3
"He's a Winner" ... Not Really - 3/2
Quarterback Height (Jimmy Clausen) - 2/25
The Top Five Reasons the Redskins Won't Pass on Jimmy Clausen - 2/22
2010 NFL Draft: All-Overhyped and Underrated Teams - 2/18
Matt Ryan and the Rams - 2/17
Prospect Case Study: Tim Tebow - 2/11
2010 NFL Draft Offensive Grades - 1/20
Tim Tebow at the Senior Bowl - 1/14
Junior Quarterbacks/Jimmy Clausen - 12/29
2010 NFL Draft Prospect Updates - 12/21
The Michael Oher Lesson - 12/20
Cameron Heyward's Ceiling - 12/17
Jake Locker to Return for Senior Season - 12/15
Top Four Scenario - 12/8
"Suh" is Elite - 12/7
Carlos Dunlap Update - 11/11
Player to Watch - 10/30
Alpha Quarterback - 10/29
2010 NFL Draft Mailbag - 10/28
O Bradford, Where Art Thou (Draft Stock)? - 10/27
The Trojan Torpedo - 10/26
Quarterback Mobility - 10/23
Charles Brown's Stock on the Rise - 10/18
Mays-Clausen and Gaines Adams - 10/17
Mr. Overrated - 10/14
2010 NFL Draft Cursed? - 10/8
Conservative Carroll - 9/22
The Crabtree Lesson - 9/21
Scouting Notes: Weeks 2-3 - 9/20
Terrelle Pryor - NFL QB? - 9/15
Jay Cutler Trade Evaluation - 9/14
THE Choke State University - 9/13
2009 NFL Predictions - 9/10
2009 College Football Predictions - 9/3
The Brett Favre Line - 8/20
Why Vick Hasn't Signed - 8/12
The Vince Young Lesson - 8/10
Vegas NFL Power Rankings - 8/9
Dorsey Fat - Chiefs Stupid - 8/7
Eli Manning: The $100 Million Man - 8/6
Predicting Future Needs Part II - 8/4
NFL Draft Moved - 7/24
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