WalterFootball.com - Detailed NFL Mock Drafts, Player Prospect Rankings, and One of the Largest Mock Draft Databases on the Web

The NFL Matt Draft Blog

This is Matt McGuire's NFL Draft blog, where he'll talk about the NFL Draft, anything that has to do with football and whatever else is on his mind.
Send Matt an e-mail here: mmcguire5@gmail.com.
All other e-mail, including advertising and link proposals, send to: wpc112@gmail.com




Posted Dec. 21, 2009

2010 NFL Draft Prospect Updates

Fresno State RB Ryan Mathews vs. Wyoming

I was really looking forward to Fresno State RB Ryan Mathews' game tape against Wyoming in the New Mexico Postseason Exhibition Match (Code for "Bowl" on WF.com).

When I put on the tape, I'm just having a very hard time finding something to like about this prospect. He has no chance of cracking a 4.50 40 time; the burst through the hole is poor and he has no second gear. Mathews was struggling to turn the edge or break one upfield against Wyoming - how is he going to do this against even bad defenses like Detroit or St. Louis? It isn't going to happen.

Mathews has a good frame with nice upper body mass, but he has average thighs. You want a running back to have thick thighs because these muscles generate the lower-body power to absorb shock from tackles and break them. If you have below-average speed (and average speed for an NFL back is 4.45 by my estimation), then you better have elite intangibles.

Mathews' game intangibles are very poor. He isn't a competitive back like a Knowshon Moreno who would break tackles at will. Mathews didn't break one tackle in this game by my count, and we are talking about WYOMING. His legs go completely dead on any initial contact. In a critical goal-line carry in overtime, he was easily tackled on the 1-yard line by a linebacker - and we are talking about a carry that should show his heart and leadership. This isn't something that will be remedied in the NFL. If you can't do it in college against poor talent (most college talent is poor talent compared to the NFL), then it isn't happening in the pros.

Also, Mathews had a fumble in this game, but I won't begrudge him because I need to find out if this is a problem or not. If he consistently has ball-security issues, then that's another knock. If he has taken care of the ball well all year, then I'm not holding it against him because all backs fumble once in a while.

The Fresno State offensive line is very experienced and they dominated against Wyoming. I've seen this unit play very well this year and there is no doubt in my mind Mathews is the beneficiary of a lot of monster holes created to fuel his stats.

Mathews runs very good routes out of the backfield, has soft hands, and is a very good pass protector. He can definitely play on third down if a team needs him to.

The problem with Mathews is he lacks the heart and talent of a No. 1 back, and he lacks the speed and game-breaking ability of a No. 2 back. I'm not really sure what role he will have in the NFL. What is his calling card? If statistics are your calling card in college, then you aren't going to produce in the NFL because you simply don't have the talent to find a niche at the next level.

The 2010 NFL Draft running back class is pretty shallow and I'm confident that if Mathews does in fact then he will come off the board in the third or fourth round based on production alone. Kevin Smith and Shonn Greene both had very average speed, but their production got them drafted toward the top of Round 3.

I haven't been a big Mathews fan all year (I've seen a couple games), but this Wyoming tape really ticks off the scout in me - sometimes I'll see a game and just start asking myself how such an average talent can be so heavily hyped up.

I'll be completely shocked if Mathews sees the second round of the 2010 NFL Draft. He isn't going to run well at the Combine if he declares and the tape can't possibly impress NFL teams to consider him in the second round. Don't buy the hype.


Rutgers OT Anthony Davis vs. Central Florida

I thought Davis had a very good game against Central Florida. He does a great job of maintaining a solid base and absorbing the blow from the end on the bull rush, but once he did get too high and allow the rusher into his body to force a QB hurry.

Davis is an extremely strong player who displays very strong hands and he is a mauler against the run. His footwork is solid, but I'm not sold on him as a great athlete. He is a good athlete, but he isn't up to par with a Eugene Monroe. Davis occasionally gets too high in his stance and while he does occasionally overextend for the most part, he is patient in pass protection.

Davis is going to come off the board in the top 25 picks, but I highly doubt he gets drafted ahead of Maryland OT Bruce Campbell who is simply a far superior athlete and pass protector.


Central Florida DT Torrell Troup vs. Rutgers

Troup had a very good game and he certainly looks like an at-worst fifth-round pick. He was quick off the snap, but I am concerned about his range. He is sluggish for a 315-pound nose tackle, and I wonder how much more weight he can carry and still be in playing shape. Troup is extremely strong at the point of attack and he does a good job of staying low and clogging the A-gap. I love his quick, strong hands, and he has a deadly club move.

Troup is one of the top five nose tackles in the 2010 NFL Draft, but he isn't a prospect you'll pencil in as a starter in his rookie year.





Matt McGuire's Recent NFL Draft Blog Entries:

Analyzing Andrew Luck's Decision - 1/7
Luck vs. Locker - 9/15
Top 10 Quarterback Busts - 7/7
NBA Draft vs. NFL Draft - 6/27
Six Sophomores Who Need to Step Up - 6/2
Kentucky 2010 NBA Draft Prospect Blog - 6/1
Brett Favre Retirement Conditions - 5/30
2010 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year - 5/24
2010 NFL Power Rankings Tier - 5/21
2010 NFL Power Rankings - 5/18
NFL Mailbag: C.J. Spiller and Buffalo Bills Reaction - 5/14
LeBron James Game 6 Reaction - 5/14
The Buffalo Bills - 5/13
LeBron James: Celtic Pride - 5/13
The JaMarcus Russell Lesson - 5/11
Most Productive 2010 NFL Rookies - 5/6
Double Down - 4/30
2010 NFL Draft Observations and Telecast Blog - 4/26
2010 NFL Draft Grades: Day 3 - 4/25
2010 NFL Draft Grades: Rounds 1-3 - 4/24
2010 NFL Draft Grades: First Round - 4/23
2010 NFL Draft Trade Analysis - 4/23
Random Round 1 Thoughts and Analysis - 4/23
2010 NFL Draft Class Predictions - 4/22
2010 NFL Draft Trades - 4/21
Response to Mike Mayock's Redskins-Trent Williams Comment - 4/8
Teams Misevaluating Their Own Quarterbacks - 4/6
Where Will Jimmy Clausen Go? - 4/5
2010 NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 Picks - 3/25
Gerald McCoy's Draft Range - 3/12
NFL Draft Picks Are Business Investments (Anthony Davis) - 3/11
Offense Matters - 3/9
Mel Kiper vs. Todd McShay Debate Revisited - 3/8
Taylor Mays - 3/3
"He's a Winner" ... Not Really - 3/2
Quarterback Height (Jimmy Clausen) - 2/25
The Top Five Reasons the Redskins Won't Pass on Jimmy Clausen - 2/22
2010 NFL Draft: All-Overhyped and Underrated Teams - 2/18
Matt Ryan and the Rams - 2/17
Prospect Case Study: Tim Tebow - 2/11
2010 NFL Draft Offensive Grades - 1/20
Tim Tebow at the Senior Bowl - 1/14
Junior Quarterbacks/Jimmy Clausen - 12/29
2010 NFL Draft Prospect Updates - 12/21
The Michael Oher Lesson - 12/20
Cameron Heyward's Ceiling - 12/17
Jake Locker to Return for Senior Season - 12/15
Top Four Scenario - 12/8
"Suh" is Elite - 12/7
Carlos Dunlap Update - 11/11
Player to Watch - 10/30
Alpha Quarterback - 10/29
2010 NFL Draft Mailbag - 10/28
O Bradford, Where Art Thou (Draft Stock)? - 10/27
The Trojan Torpedo - 10/26
Quarterback Mobility - 10/23
Charles Brown's Stock on the Rise - 10/18
Mays-Clausen and Gaines Adams - 10/17
Mr. Overrated - 10/14
2010 NFL Draft Cursed? - 10/8
Conservative Carroll - 9/22
The Crabtree Lesson - 9/21
Scouting Notes: Weeks 2-3 - 9/20
Terrelle Pryor - NFL QB? - 9/15
Jay Cutler Trade Evaluation - 9/14
THE Choke State University - 9/13
2009 NFL Predictions - 9/10
2009 College Football Predictions - 9/3
The Brett Favre Line - 8/20
Why Vick Hasn't Signed - 8/12
The Vince Young Lesson - 8/10
Vegas NFL Power Rankings - 8/9
Dorsey Fat - Chiefs Stupid - 8/7
Eli Manning: The $100 Million Man - 8/6
Predicting Future Needs Part II - 8/4
NFL Draft Moved - 7/24
Matt McGuire's NFL Draft Blog - Home






2010 NFL Mock Draft - Matt McGuire's


2010 NFL Mock Draft - Walt's


NFL Picks


2009 Fantasy Football Rankings





© 1999-2014 Walter Cherepinsky : all rights reserved
Privacy Policy
2 5 9
Google
















WalterFootball.com Now on Twitter:

WalterFootball.com Twitter

Subscribe to the WalterFootball.com RSS Feed:

Walterfootball.com RSS Feed