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Posted Nov. 11, 2009
Carlos Dunlap Update
Last month, I was heavily critical of Florida defensive end Carlos Dunlap, but rightfully so.
As a confident yet humble scout, I pride myself on being as objective as possible.
Dunlap has played more consistently in recent weeks, but not that much more. He still is pretty much invisible, but I do see some hustle in chase tackles - or when he has to run a little bit to make a blindside tackle in the open field.
However, I'm done with Dunlap as a prospect. We are nine games into the season and I just haven't seen the upside or consistency to give Dunlap a second-round grade. I would draft Dunlap late in the second round because this is a weak draft class, but I think he is the most overrated defensive player in the country.
When I put on the tape of Vanderbilt-Florida this week, I just don't see the production, athleticism or consistency you want to see out of a first-round prospect, much less a top-10 prospect.
First of all, his athleticism is highly overrated. He has average agility and no burst off the snap. His first step is nothing to speak highly of.
Second, his only pass-rush move is the spin. He doesn't have a rip move, a swim move or an inside move.
Third, he'll make one impressive play and then he will go invisible for the next couple of series. Dunlap is very soft and not physical in the phone booth against an opposing lineman.
And fourth, his body language really bothers me at times. He will just look uninterested. In the fourth quarter with 6:40 left, he was double-teamed, didn't put up any fight, then made a half-effort jump up to deflect the football. It was a pathetic sight to see from a supposed top-10 draft pick.
Dunlap is a big body. He is 6-6, 280, but it isn't the size of the dog; it's the size of the fight in the dog. It doesn't matter how big Dunlap is because he doesn't play that big when you watch the tape.
Dunlap's draft stock is all over the map. He could go in the top 10, but he could also fall to the second round. Nothing would shock me.
No way the Raiders draft two white players in the first three rounds. They use only Derek Carr out of 22 starters and began the year with a league-low 4 out of 53 white players on their roster. This is a long-term trend in Oakland, definitely along the lines of an anti-New England philosophy.
NFL combine will change things quite a bit. USED DRAFT-TEK rankings. Been trying to catch as many college games as possible ( they should update their rankings, IE Kaaya is ranked # 2 on the list , Trubisky is ranked out of the top 50 )
Will see teams reach at OT & QB.