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This is Matt McGuire's NFL Draft blog, where he'll talk about the NFL Draft, anything that has to do with football and whatever else is on his mind.
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Posted Oct. 14, 2009

Mr. Overrated

It isn't often a prospect is hyped up as a Top-10er and looks like a complete horsecrap on tape.

Welcome, to my blog, Mr. Carlos Dunlap. You are a joke of a prospect.

I am absolutely done with this "talent" in terms of evaluation at least until he plays three-plus games with outstanding consistency.

I have watched 12 quarters of film on Dunlap versus Tennessee, Kentucky and LSU. I have seen nothing but a complete lack of playmaking and an attitude that says, "I could give a **** whether or not I make plays."

Dunlap is hyped up as this monster pass-rusher because he put up double-digit sacks last season and is listed at 6-6, 290. People automatically think Mario Williams.

When I put on the tape, it is 100 percent clear to me he isn't a better football player than teammate Jermaine Cunningham.

There is absolutely no excuse for playing three games on national television and making only two or three impressive plays in that timespan. I'm not kidding - I call it like I see it. I don't want to make a mis-evaluation and be laughed at a year from now.

At times, especially in the second half, you will see Dunlap practically walking on the field during the middle of the play if he isn't within five yards of the ball-carrier. It's horrible.

Here are my notes on Dunlap's performance against LSU. (Stay tuned: I might have a special surprise coming in a few weeks to WalterFootball.com, but I don't want to give it away.) Plays are marked by quarter and the time the play occurred within the quarter. As a scout, I pride myself on being as objective as possible. I give credit where credit is due, and I don't give credit where I don't believe it is warranted.

Carlos Dunlap vs. LSU

-Doesn't fire out of his stance (1st-3:50)

-Lacks agility; sluggish when planting foot and exploding out of cut (2nd-11:16)

-Joseph Barksdale locks on; Dunlap shows no fight (2nd-10:47)

-Makes a good play against run, but it isn't jaw dropping (2nd-10:15)

-When QB gets past him, he jogs and shows no effort (2nd-9:30)

-Very physical; nice goal-line play (2nd-6:03)

-Shows poor discipline and leaves feet (2nd-0:39)

-Where is this elite pass rusher? Invisible at opportune moment. Where is the "athletic freak"? (3rd-8:21)

-Spin moved gets stuffed (3rd-6:46)

-Makes no play when run at (3rd-2:35)

-First rip move of the game vs. Barksdale's forearm (4th-7:17)... blocked easily by a one-armed, half-effort play by OT

-Very soft (4th-6:40)

-Plays with ABSOLUTELY NO EFFORT (4th-4:18)

I really hate Dunlap because when he is in a general area of a play, he looks completely disinterested.

I read this on his profile on NFLDraftScout.com; this excerpt was written before the season by Jeremy Fowler of the The Orlando Sentinel:

He really has cleaned up his act after two years of loafing around in practice. Defensive coordinator Charlie Strong joked the other day that Dunlap wouldn't run from him to a door about six yards away from him in the media room. Apparently now he mentors younger players and gets after it. Despite what he calls "lazy tactics" his first two years, he isn't labeled by NFL scouts as a guy who takes plays off in games.

I was mildly surprised yesterday when I read this because it completely confirmed my suspicions about his effort.

The bottom line is last year was last year, and this year is this year. Dunlap is so lackadaisical on the football field. The last thing he seems to care about is making plays. I don't see much speed or agility on tape, and I don't care what he is measured at.

Carlos Dunlap, right now, is the most overrated defensive player in the country. I don't care what anyone else thinks. I wouldn't draft him in Round 3.





Matt McGuire's Recent NFL Draft Blog Entries:

Analyzing Andrew Luck's Decision - 1/7
Luck vs. Locker - 9/15
Top 10 Quarterback Busts - 7/7
NBA Draft vs. NFL Draft - 6/27
Six Sophomores Who Need to Step Up - 6/2
Kentucky 2010 NBA Draft Prospect Blog - 6/1
Brett Favre Retirement Conditions - 5/30
2010 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year - 5/24
2010 NFL Power Rankings Tier - 5/21
2010 NFL Power Rankings - 5/18
NFL Mailbag: C.J. Spiller and Buffalo Bills Reaction - 5/14
LeBron James Game 6 Reaction - 5/14
The Buffalo Bills - 5/13
LeBron James: Celtic Pride - 5/13
The JaMarcus Russell Lesson - 5/11
Most Productive 2010 NFL Rookies - 5/6
Double Down - 4/30
2010 NFL Draft Observations and Telecast Blog - 4/26
2010 NFL Draft Grades: Day 3 - 4/25
2010 NFL Draft Grades: Rounds 1-3 - 4/24
2010 NFL Draft Grades: First Round - 4/23
2010 NFL Draft Trade Analysis - 4/23
Random Round 1 Thoughts and Analysis - 4/23
2010 NFL Draft Class Predictions - 4/22
2010 NFL Draft Trades - 4/21
Response to Mike Mayock's Redskins-Trent Williams Comment - 4/8
Teams Misevaluating Their Own Quarterbacks - 4/6
Where Will Jimmy Clausen Go? - 4/5
2010 NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 Picks - 3/25
Gerald McCoy's Draft Range - 3/12
NFL Draft Picks Are Business Investments (Anthony Davis) - 3/11
Offense Matters - 3/9
Mel Kiper vs. Todd McShay Debate Revisited - 3/8
Taylor Mays - 3/3
"He's a Winner" ... Not Really - 3/2
Quarterback Height (Jimmy Clausen) - 2/25
The Top Five Reasons the Redskins Won't Pass on Jimmy Clausen - 2/22
2010 NFL Draft: All-Overhyped and Underrated Teams - 2/18
Matt Ryan and the Rams - 2/17
Prospect Case Study: Tim Tebow - 2/11
2010 NFL Draft Offensive Grades - 1/20
Tim Tebow at the Senior Bowl - 1/14
Junior Quarterbacks/Jimmy Clausen - 12/29
2010 NFL Draft Prospect Updates - 12/21
The Michael Oher Lesson - 12/20
Cameron Heyward's Ceiling - 12/17
Jake Locker to Return for Senior Season - 12/15
Top Four Scenario - 12/8
"Suh" is Elite - 12/7
Carlos Dunlap Update - 11/11
Player to Watch - 10/30
Alpha Quarterback - 10/29
2010 NFL Draft Mailbag - 10/28
O Bradford, Where Art Thou (Draft Stock)? - 10/27
The Trojan Torpedo - 10/26
Quarterback Mobility - 10/23
Charles Brown's Stock on the Rise - 10/18
Mays-Clausen and Gaines Adams - 10/17
Mr. Overrated - 10/14
2010 NFL Draft Cursed? - 10/8
Conservative Carroll - 9/22
The Crabtree Lesson - 9/21
Scouting Notes: Weeks 2-3 - 9/20
Terrelle Pryor - NFL QB? - 9/15
Jay Cutler Trade Evaluation - 9/14
THE Choke State University - 9/13
2009 NFL Predictions - 9/10
2009 College Football Predictions - 9/3
The Brett Favre Line - 8/20
Why Vick Hasn't Signed - 8/12
The Vince Young Lesson - 8/10
Vegas NFL Power Rankings - 8/9
Dorsey Fat - Chiefs Stupid - 8/7
Eli Manning: The $100 Million Man - 8/6
Predicting Future Needs Part II - 8/4
NFL Draft Moved - 7/24
Matt McGuire's NFL Draft Blog - Home






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