Damn Walter I love the write ups and depth you go into on games but man you flat out cannot pick against the spread maybe just drop picking against the spread and keep the in depth analysis going because realistically no one is following you on the picks....right?
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Posted March 25, 2009
St. Beanie Wells
In almost every draft, a shocking pick takes place and no one sees it coming:
Jerod Mayo to New England at No. 10 in 2008.
Ted Ginn Jr. to Miami at No. 9 in 2007.
Donte Whitner to Buffalo at No. 8 in 2006 (Mayock only knew because he has insane inside sources with the league).
Mike Williams to Detroit at No. 10 in 2005.
Phillip Rivers over Ben Roethlisberger at No. 4 overall in 2004.
I could go on and on.
This year, I feel like running back Chris "Beanie" Wells could be a New Orleans Saint when it is all said and done.
The Saints really do not have many needs and they might feel like Wells is the best value for them at No. 14.
They signed Darren Sharper who will play free safety. They also could potentially feel like their 2007 third round pick, Usama Young, can also play that position since he did at Kent State. General manager Mickey Loomis might feel like he is set in the defensive backfield if they are fine at safety with Tracy Porter and Jabari Greer at cornerback.
Loomis might think both Brian Cushing and Clay Matthews, the only outside linebackers potentially worthy of a No. 14 selection, are not adequate value to demand that pick. They can also find a weakside linebacker later on in the 2009 NFL Draft with a Nic Harris, Gerald McRath or Ty McKenzie.
The Saints have invested a lot into their offensive line, so they won't go there at No. 14.
Where else could they go?
This offense truly does lack a power running back. I like Reggie Bush as a No. 2, but I am not sure if Pierre Thomas can carry the load.
Wells provides very solid value at No. 14 if this front office feels like they are fine at defensive back and there isn't an outside linebacker on the board worthy of the No. 14 selection.
I will occasionally mock Wells to the Saints just to show I think this is a very real possibility. Remember, in 2007 they drafted Robert Meachem after losing Joe Horn, despite having Devery Henderson and Maques Colston. EVERYONE gave the Saints a defensive player in their mock draft and we were all shocked when they decided to go receiver.
In the draft, teams love to add a back in the first round to an already established group. There is a history of teams doing this in the first round.
The Seahawks took Shaun Alexander at No. 19 despite having Ricky Watters, and he had 1,597 total yards and seven touchdowns in the 1999 season.
The Rams drafted Trung Candidate at No. 31 overall to put next to Marshall Faulk in the 2000 NFL Draft.
New Orleans did not trust Ricky Williams and drafted Deuce McAllister in 2001. Williams had 1,409 total yards and nine touchdowns in the 2000 season.
Buffalo selected Willis McGahee in 2003 despite having Travis Henry in his prime; same for the Chiefs who selected Larry Johnson with Priest Holmes dominating.
Rudi Johnson displayed some talent in the 2003 season, yet the Bengals still picked Chris Perry in the 2004 NFL Draft.
The Saints selected Reggie Bush at No. 2 overall to pair with McAllister in 2006.
The Panthers did the same with DeAngelo Williams to share carries with DeShaun Foster.
Adrian Peterson was selected by the Vikings at No. 7 in the 2007 NFL Draft, despite signing Chester Taylor in free agency.
Oakland took Darren McFadden at No. 4 despite already having Justin Fargas and Michael Bush on the roster.
Jerry Jones wanted Felix Jones to pair with Marion Barber.
The Steelers drafted Rashard Mendenhall to place next to Willie Parker.
Tenneessee spent second-round picks on LenDale White and Chris Henry in the previous two drafts, but still ended up taking Chris Johnson at No. 24 in 2008.
There is a VERY long history of teams doing what the Saints could potentially do with Wells. We see the Saints have spent a first-round pick on this position despite already having a first-round running back, which they drafted, as the projected starter.
I am not saying Wells is the favorite to go to New Orleans at No. 14. Defensive back or linebacker could be the pick, but do not rule out a St. Beanie Wells possibility, and don't be shocked if it happens.