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Posted Feb. 10, 2009

Reading KC's Cards at Three overall

Every year there is a pick that truly sets the tone for the rest of the NFL Draft. It's the pick up very high that is somewhat of a wild card. Last year, it was Atlanta. Jake Long was signed, Chris Long reportedly was going second, but some were still on the fence about the Falcons. We didn't know if they were taking the gunslinger from Boston College or the dominant sack artist from LSU.

NFL history has been forever changed since the Falcons took Matt Ryan No. 3 overall.

This year, the No. 3 pick will again cause a huge ripple effect on Draft Day.

Scott Pioli and Todd Haley are the new sheriffs in town.

There are no two consensus picks at three overall on the WalterFootball.com 2009 NFL Mock Database, but among the best mockers on the Internet, the Chiefs are going to be taking either USC quarterback Mark Sanchez or Wake Forest product Aaron Curry at this pick.

Let's rule out left tackle here. I do not see the Chiefs going tackle because they already have a solid player in Brandon Albert on the blind side. I do not think it makes your team nearly as good if you go left tackle at No. 3 as opposed to Sanchez or even Curry. You really address another need with a franchise quarterback or dominant linebacker, as opposed to kicking Albert inside at guard.

I also think we should rule out defensive end, such as a Brian Orakpo or Everette Brown. Yes, the Chiefs pass rush was terrible, but they can go defensive end in Rounds 2 or 3. I also do not believe Brown or Orakpo have enough value to command the third pick.

So it comes down to Sanchez and Curry. They are the two cowboys standing in the ghost town of the Wild West as tumbleweeds roll across the dirt road.

Who is it going to be?

I am going with Sanchez.

Why, you ask? Historically, new head coaches love to draft a quarterback if given the chance.

  • Mike Smith - Matt Ryan
  • John Harbaugh - Joe Flacco
  • Lane Kiffin - JaMarcus Russell
  • Cam Cameron - John Beck (passed on Brady Quinn)
  • Dennis Green - Matt Leinart
  • Eric Mangini - Kellen Clemens
  • Brad Childress - Tarvaris Jackson
  • Mike Nolan - Alex Smith
  • Tom Coughlin - Eli Manning
  • Mike Mularkey - J.P. Losman
  • Marvis Lewis - Carson Palmer
  • Jack Del Rio - Byron Leftwich


  • I think you get the point now. Some of the above quarterbacks were second-roudners, but the coach who drafted each of those guys LOVED them. They passed up on a first-round quarterback to get their guy in the second. I still consider the second-round picks very valuable, and when you spend one on a quarterback, he is looked at as the "future of the franchise."

    The Chiefs could still go with Aaron Curry, I understand, but when push comes to shove, how do you pass up on a franchise quarterback? Sanchez is FAR more talented than Tyler Thigpen. Thigpen put up pretty average stats in a spread offense. He has an average arm, and is not very talented. He might be able to get the job done, but you can't pass up on Sanchez's talent at three overall.

    Combine the "new head coaches love franchise QBs" theory with Walter's article on how rare it is linebackers go in the top three of the NFL Draft, and you have a recipe for a Mark Sanchez fiesta on April 25.



    Matt McGuire's Recent NFL Draft Blog Entries:

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    2010 NFL Draft Grades: Day 3 - 4/25
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    2010 NFL Draft Trade Analysis - 4/23
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    Teams Misevaluating Their Own Quarterbacks - 4/6
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    Matt McGuire's NFL Draft Blog - Home








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