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This is Matt McGuire's NFL Draft blog, where he'll talk about the NFL Draft, anything that has to do with football and whatever else is on his mind.
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Posted Jan. 1, 2009

Nate Davis Should Declare for the 2009 NFL Draft

Should I stay or should I go now?

It rarely happens in college football, but sometimes junior quarterbacks make the mistake of staying in school for their senior season. Omar Jacobs, Matt Leinart, Colt Brennan, and Brian Brohm all could have made more money had they declared for the NFL Draft as juniors. We have another rare occurrence.

If Nate Davis does not declare for the 2009 NFL Draft, he needs to be subject to a CAT scan. Matt Stafford might be the only projected starter at the quarterback in the NFL Draft if Sam Bradford decides to stay in Norman for his junior season. In a league where quarterback is regarded as the most valuable position and in high demand, your stock goes up in the NFL Draft simply because you take a snap.

If Stafford is the only junior to declare (besides Davis) there will be multiple teams in the NFL Draft prepared to spend a second-round pick on Davis - maybe even a first-round pick. How can you pass that up when you consider Josh Freeman, Mark Sanchez and Colt McCoy (hypothetically), stay for their senior season, then consider the other juniors who could declare for the 2010 NFL Draft? There is much more competition for Davis in 2010.

Davis is a likely second-round pick in 2009, but could take a drastic fall in 2010. Maybe he suffers a huge injury. Maybe the scouts second guess themselves like they did with Jacobs, Brohm and Brennan. Maybe the other quarterbacks have phenomenal senior seasons.

Monetarily, this is a no-brainer.

What are my thoughts on Davis? I wouldn't draft him in the first two rounds. Some people like Mel Kiper and Todd McShay feel like Davis has first-round talent. Davis isn't very big, he has average arm strength from what I can see, and plays in a shotgun offense.

Everyone glorifies the college game and talks about how great it is for the time you are there. Maybe so, but tell the quarterbacks who never had much of a professional career that staying for your senior year is worth passing up a contract worth in the neighborhood of three to four million dollars.



Matt McGuire's Recent NFL Draft Blog Entries:

Analyzing Andrew Luck's Decision - 1/7
Luck vs. Locker - 9/15
Top 10 Quarterback Busts - 7/7
NBA Draft vs. NFL Draft - 6/27
Six Sophomores Who Need to Step Up - 6/2
Kentucky 2010 NBA Draft Prospect Blog - 6/1
Brett Favre Retirement Conditions - 5/30
2010 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year - 5/24
2010 NFL Power Rankings Tier - 5/21
2010 NFL Power Rankings - 5/18
NFL Mailbag: C.J. Spiller and Buffalo Bills Reaction - 5/14
LeBron James Game 6 Reaction - 5/14
The Buffalo Bills - 5/13
LeBron James: Celtic Pride - 5/13
The JaMarcus Russell Lesson - 5/11
Most Productive 2010 NFL Rookies - 5/6
Double Down - 4/30
2010 NFL Draft Observations and Telecast Blog - 4/26
2010 NFL Draft Grades: Day 3 - 4/25
2010 NFL Draft Grades: Rounds 1-3 - 4/24
2010 NFL Draft Grades: First Round - 4/23
2010 NFL Draft Trade Analysis - 4/23
Random Round 1 Thoughts and Analysis - 4/23
2010 NFL Draft Class Predictions - 4/22
2010 NFL Draft Trades - 4/21
Response to Mike Mayock's Redskins-Trent Williams Comment - 4/8
Teams Misevaluating Their Own Quarterbacks - 4/6
Where Will Jimmy Clausen Go? - 4/5
2010 NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 Picks - 3/25
Gerald McCoy's Draft Range - 3/12
NFL Draft Picks Are Business Investments (Anthony Davis) - 3/11
Offense Matters - 3/9
Mel Kiper vs. Todd McShay Debate Revisited - 3/8
Taylor Mays - 3/3
"He's a Winner" ... Not Really - 3/2
Quarterback Height (Jimmy Clausen) - 2/25
The Top Five Reasons the Redskins Won't Pass on Jimmy Clausen - 2/22
2010 NFL Draft: All-Overhyped and Underrated Teams - 2/18
Matt Ryan and the Rams - 2/17
Prospect Case Study: Tim Tebow - 2/11
2010 NFL Draft Offensive Grades - 1/20
Tim Tebow at the Senior Bowl - 1/14
Junior Quarterbacks/Jimmy Clausen - 12/29
2010 NFL Draft Prospect Updates - 12/21
The Michael Oher Lesson - 12/20
Cameron Heyward's Ceiling - 12/17
Jake Locker to Return for Senior Season - 12/15
Top Four Scenario - 12/8
"Suh" is Elite - 12/7
Carlos Dunlap Update - 11/11
Player to Watch - 10/30
Alpha Quarterback - 10/29
2010 NFL Draft Mailbag - 10/28
O Bradford, Where Art Thou (Draft Stock)? - 10/27
The Trojan Torpedo - 10/26
Quarterback Mobility - 10/23
Charles Brown's Stock on the Rise - 10/18
Mays-Clausen and Gaines Adams - 10/17
Mr. Overrated - 10/14
2010 NFL Draft Cursed? - 10/8
Conservative Carroll - 9/22
The Crabtree Lesson - 9/21
Scouting Notes: Weeks 2-3 - 9/20
Terrelle Pryor - NFL QB? - 9/15
Jay Cutler Trade Evaluation - 9/14
THE Choke State University - 9/13
2009 NFL Predictions - 9/10
2009 College Football Predictions - 9/3
The Brett Favre Line - 8/20
Why Vick Hasn't Signed - 8/12
The Vince Young Lesson - 8/10
Vegas NFL Power Rankings - 8/9
Dorsey Fat - Chiefs Stupid - 8/7
Eli Manning: The $100 Million Man - 8/6
Predicting Future Needs Part II - 8/4
NFL Draft Moved - 7/24
Matt McGuire's NFL Draft Blog - Home








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