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Posted Jan. 1, 2009
Nate Davis Should Declare for the 2009 NFL Draft
Should I stay or should I go now?
It rarely happens in college football, but sometimes junior quarterbacks make the mistake of staying in school for their senior season. Omar Jacobs, Matt Leinart, Colt Brennan, and Brian Brohm all could have made more money had they declared for the NFL Draft as juniors. We have another rare occurrence.
If Nate Davis does not declare for the 2009 NFL Draft, he needs to be subject to a CAT scan. Matt Stafford might be the only projected starter at the quarterback in the NFL Draft if Sam Bradford decides to stay in Norman for his junior season. In a league where quarterback is regarded as the most valuable position and in high demand, your stock goes up in the NFL Draft simply because you take a snap.
If Stafford is the only junior to declare (besides Davis) there will be multiple teams in the NFL Draft prepared to spend a second-round pick on Davis - maybe even a first-round pick. How can you pass that up when you consider Josh Freeman, Mark Sanchez and Colt McCoy (hypothetically), stay for their senior season, then consider the other juniors who could declare for the 2010 NFL Draft? There is much more competition for Davis in 2010.
Davis is a likely second-round pick in 2009, but could take a drastic fall in 2010. Maybe he suffers a huge injury. Maybe the scouts second guess themselves like they did with Jacobs, Brohm and Brennan. Maybe the other quarterbacks have phenomenal senior seasons.
Monetarily, this is a no-brainer.
What are my thoughts on Davis? I wouldn't draft him in the first two rounds. Some people like Mel Kiper and Todd McShay feel like Davis has first-round talent. Davis isn't very big, he has average arm strength from what I can see, and plays in a shotgun offense.
Everyone glorifies the college game and talks about how great it is for the time you are there. Maybe so, but tell the quarterbacks who never had much of a professional career that staying for your senior year is worth passing up a contract worth in the neighborhood of three to four million dollars.