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Posted Jan. 1, 2009
Nate Davis Should Declare for the 2009 NFL Draft
Should I stay or should I go now?
It rarely happens in college football, but sometimes junior quarterbacks make the mistake of staying in school for their senior season. Omar Jacobs, Matt Leinart, Colt Brennan, and Brian Brohm all could have made more money had they declared for the NFL Draft as juniors. We have another rare occurrence.
If Nate Davis does not declare for the 2009 NFL Draft, he needs to be subject to a CAT scan. Matt Stafford might be the only projected starter at the quarterback in the NFL Draft if Sam Bradford decides to stay in Norman for his junior season. In a league where quarterback is regarded as the most valuable position and in high demand, your stock goes up in the NFL Draft simply because you take a snap.
If Stafford is the only junior to declare (besides Davis) there will be multiple teams in the NFL Draft prepared to spend a second-round pick on Davis - maybe even a first-round pick. How can you pass that up when you consider Josh Freeman, Mark Sanchez and Colt McCoy (hypothetically), stay for their senior season, then consider the other juniors who could declare for the 2010 NFL Draft? There is much more competition for Davis in 2010.
Davis is a likely second-round pick in 2009, but could take a drastic fall in 2010. Maybe he suffers a huge injury. Maybe the scouts second guess themselves like they did with Jacobs, Brohm and Brennan. Maybe the other quarterbacks have phenomenal senior seasons.
Monetarily, this is a no-brainer.
What are my thoughts on Davis? I wouldn't draft him in the first two rounds. Some people like Mel Kiper and Todd McShay feel like Davis has first-round talent. Davis isn't very big, he has average arm strength from what I can see, and plays in a shotgun offense.
Everyone glorifies the college game and talks about how great it is for the time you are there. Maybe so, but tell the quarterbacks who never had much of a professional career that staying for your senior year is worth passing up a contract worth in the neighborhood of three to four million dollars.
@Black&Gold Problem is that you see Eli and Cobi as solid backups. Truth is that Eli is number 2 and Cobi is our number 3. They aren't backups, but starters. So what you're saying is that we have no true number 2, but see no need in drafting a receiver? What D line depth are you thinking? DE or NT? Have you seen what LT Walton has done? Remember he's only in his second year.
@Steelr Fan 3:16 Coates was supposed to be plan B at number 2 with the uncertainty of Bryant. You make the case that he's a one trick pony and not a 50 catch per season wide-out, so does that scream out as a option for number 2? What gives you hope about Green? I hope he does end up staying on the field, but so far in his career he hasn't be able to do that. I like James, but if he goes down you trust Grimble? He can't block, and hasn't been reliable in the pass game. He did mess his ribs up with a nice touchdown reception a few weeks ago. That still doesn't mean he can pick up and be an impact if James would not be able to go. We have 7 picks in this draft. The first I hope goes OLB. We are good at CB with Burnes and @[email protected] will be challenged hopefully by Golson. Loser of the battle would be a good slot corner. Golson lacks length so they may throw him in the slot role anyways. LT Walton has been more than solid at DE. If Heyward or Tuitt can't go a few weeks during the season then I have faith in LT to get the job done. I like Chickillo and Moates at OLB. They have started and played solid. Williams and Dirty Red at backup ILB is good depth that any team would love. Safety we have Golden and Dangerfield. Both have started any didn't miss a beat. Offensive line? Yeah, we're good there. You say we're good at tight end and WR, so with or final 6 picks we're going what exactly? A RB would be nice with Williams age. A backup that won't see the field unless God forbid Bell gets hurt is a wasted pick anywhere in the top 4 rounds. Maybe 5th would be suffice. That's 2 picks gone and 5 to go. A backup QB of the future would be nice. Four to go. A special teamed lol? Warren, Boswell, and Berry are really good.
Mock I have been developing in various iterations. Did a trade, and was drafting based on data I've gathered via watching college games, NFL games, reading mock drafts, and my own internal evaluations. Please, feedback is always welcome.