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#1 Florida vs. #2 UCLA.
Florida dominated UCLA in the National Championship last year in a 73-57 blowout, as Joakim Noah scored 16 points, nine rebounds and six blocks.
Will the Gators have the same desire this time around? Two weeks ago, I would have said the Bruins could easily avenge the 16-point loss. Well, not anymore. Florida clearly knows what time of year it is; as I previously mentioned, they didn't trail for a single second in the SEC Tournament. Not even 2-0. They're focused, experienced, talented and deadly.
I like UCLA a lot and I wish it were on the other side of the bracket so I could predict a rematch of last year's title game. I just don't think the Bruins will have an answer for Noah. Florida's defense will give UCLA problems on the offensive end.
Winner: #1 Florida.
#2 Georgetown vs. #3 Texas A&M.
This is a tough game to call. Two of my friends, Larry and Mike, both of whom have a tremendous knowledge of college basketball, have the same Final Four as I do. However, they both have Georgetown over Texas A&M. This is where they and I differ.
It's almost impossible to stop Roy Hibbert when he's going. It makes it harder with Jeff Green on the floor because teams can't double the 7-foot-2 center. However, the Aggies have two big men -- Joseph Jones and Antanas Kavaliauskas -- who can at least contain him and handle him one-on-one for a while. Texas A&M's defense will then be able to slow down the Hoyas' offense.
Neither Hibbert nor Green is the best player in this game anyway. That title belongs to Acie Law IV, whom I trust to hit a big shot over anyone in this year's tournament. In fact, I guarantee he'll knock down a game-winning jumper sometime during the next few weeks.
As a tie-breaker, I'm looking at how well each team shoots the 3-ball. Georgetown is solid at 36 percent. Texas A&M, meanwhile, hits at a 42-percent rate. That's just unbelievable.
Winner: #3 Texas A&M.
#1 Florida vs. #3 Texas A&M.
I like Florida over Texas A&M for the same reason I liked them over Oregon and UCLA. Its 3-point defense, tournament experience and barrage of talented athletes will be too much for any team to handle.
Oregon, UCLA and Texas A&M are all championship-caliber squads, but the Gators have done it before and they'll do it again.
Winner: Florida 71, Texas A&M 66.