Holder's Semi-Daily NBA Picks

[lesgrossmanGFY]

Originally Posted by holder_account

Give the Lakers those 13 free throws, and assuming they would have made them all, they still would've lost by double digits.

Denver tends to own everyone at home. They are the best home team out there.

Raptors go on a 16-0 run in the last 3 minutes of the game to blow the Clippers out.

2-3 night.

I doubt it. Once the calls start getting lopsided, the team that is getting jobbed starts playing more hesitantly, start arguing with the refs, get teed up, starters get pulled, completely changes the complexion of the game, which in this case was close until the middle of the 3rd. Everything just starts snowballing. A team like the Lakers realize what is going on and just let the game go after a certain point. If the calls start going completely in favor of the home team, there is really not much sense in fighting it.

[lesgrossmanGFY]

Excellent night on your picks by the way

[holder_account]

Thanks.

Did you see the game though? I watched the entire thing, and I didn't notice anything lopsided about the referees. I noticed the Lakers giving up.

[holder_account]

11.15.09

Lakers/Rockets Over 204.5 - The last time these two teams played, the total was 205. I believe that the total will go way over this time around. I see the Lakers getting out to a quick start, outscoring the Rockets 61-47 at the half. The final score should be the Lakers in the 110's and the Rockets in the high 90's to 100's.

Thunder/Clippers Over 178.5 - Last time these two teams met, the total was a horrendous 162. That was in LA. Welcome to Oklahoma City, where the Thunder have scored in the high 90's low 100's all but one game this season. LA will be in revenge mode, and because they can't play defense, expect them to come out swinging.

Mavs at Pistons -4.5 - This one is more gut instinct than anything. The Mavericks thrive on the road, while the Pistons just had a very close game in Washington. While the Pistons to upset favored teams in Detroit, I don't see it being the case this time around.

Suns vs Raptors -7 - There is no reason the Raptors should get this many points. Yea, they beat the Clippers by 15, but only because the Clips gave up and let them score 16 points in the last 3 minutes. Phoenix, hot from their recent loss to the Lakers, should take control and stay in control in the first. The Raptors will make a little comeback but Phoenix will close it out properly in the 4th.