Kelce led all tight ends in fantasy points last season, but will have a new quarterback and offensive coordinator for 2018. I like Patrick Mahomes quite a bit and think he could help Kelce put up even better numbers, but he's also a wild card. I won't be drafting any tight end early this season, so ADP will help dictate where my priorities lie.
2. Rob Gronkowski, TE, Patriots. Bye: 9.
There is a real possibility that Gronkowski will retire this offseason, but the odds are on the side of him playing. A healthy Gronkowski has the most upside at the position, but injuries have hurt him and are likely a reason he is considering retirement. As long as he plays, he is a top-two tight end, but I'm leaning Kelce as a safer pick.
3. Zach Ertz, TE, Eagles. Bye: 4.
Ertz has similar upside to the top two tight ends here, but he also ha more competition for targets. As long as Philadelphia remains a pass-heavy offense, I expect Ertz to be consistent, which is extremely tough for tight ends not named Gronkowski and Olsen in recent years.
4. Greg Olsen, TE, Panthers. Bye: 7.
Olsen could be a value play this season, as his injury pretty much took away his whole 2017 and he's likely to once again be a top-two target in a good offense. Age and injuries are a concern, but I don't think we'll see a big decline from him.
5. Evan Engram, TE, Giants. Bye: 8.
Engram has the talent to be a top-five tight end in fantasy, but he does have more competition for targets with Odell Beckham Jr. back, a new coaching staff and Eli Manning not being good. I'll bank on Engram's talent winning over though.
6. Delanie Walker, TE, Titans. Bye: 13.
I have hopes that the Titans' offense will take a step up under new management, but Walker could lose some targets to the young guys. He's, of course, reliable and a big part of the offense, so I'm not running from him, but I think we're paying for his upside.
7. Jimmy Graham, TE, Seahawks. Bye: 5.
Graham is likely to move on to a new team, and a lot will depend on that team, but I also think he'll be used all across the field instead of just in the red zone for whatever team he lands.
8. Hunter Henry, TE, Chargers. Bye: 11.
Henry's usage last season was odd, but he did see an increase in work and production at the end of the season, right before he had his kidney lacerated. He has the ability to be a top tight end with a larger work load, and hopefully, the Chargers will get him the snaps he deserves.