Walter I think you're right to go back to psychology being a huge factor in picking games. I think where you error is these one-liners that mostly have to do with what happened during their last game. Take the Chargers for instance, the franchise has been slowly crumbling all season, all the fans saw it a mile away. The failed draft picks, sideline spats, injuries, losing to bad teams, frustrated QB with nobody to throw to, and a coach who has lost the locker room. These were all bigger psychological factors than whatever happened the previous game or looking ahead or whatever. The Packers finally took enough heat from the media to get pissed off enough to win a a game. They hit a tipping point before beating MIN. I think you have to look at the bigger factors that are playing into a team's motivation, if you can find them, and use those to your advantage. As a Charger fan I didn't go anywhere near that bet because I knew nobody would get up for any game until McCoy is gone. Nobody on that team cares right now, except for Rivers.
This is still my favorite site and eventhough the picks have been bad, the analysis still helps for fantasy purposes. Also, when I pair your picks up with a couple other cappers and get rid of the ones you disagree on I tend to do pretty well.
Finally, taking favorites has been brutal lately. I'm currently trying to stay away from any team favorited by more than a TD, I'll tease it if needed. There has been so much randomness that it seems like taking points with decent teams might be a good strategy.
...Yea sure Indiana U is #13th in the country, at 4-1 these guys got outplayed in the second half today (AT HOME) and only missed the cover by 10.5 points.. Yikes and another teaser loss. I had KY -16.5 in that Indy debacle and I'm now moving them to another teaser play. This is what I have left for today in college basketball: Three team teaser with: Maryland -4, Kansas -1, NC -2.5. Another: Vandy -2.5, KY -16.5, one open. Can't find anything else in NBA..so just GST -9 today to close out a teaser play. NHL: I'm taking Dallas -175 to close out 2 different pars that have already been reduced now to a two team par, (Patriot -7 push last night.) Hedging with Ottawa +155 on the comeback. GLTA tonight.
Mike Pollak, Arizona State
Height: 6-3. Weight: 299. Projected 40 Time: 4.92. Combine 40 Time: 4.98. Arm: 31 1/2. Benchx225: . Projected Round: 3.
Probably the most impressive center at the combine; may have passed Steve Justice as the top guy at the position.
Steve Justice, Wake Forest
Height: 6-3. Weight: 293. Projected Projected 40 Time: 5.06. Combine 40 Time: 5.22. Arm: 31 1/2. Benchx225: . Projected Round: 3-4.
Named a preseason All-American for the 2007 season. Will battle it out with Mike Pollak as the top center in this class.
John Sullivan, Notre Dame
Height: 6-3. Weight: 301. Projected 40 Time: 5.05. Combine 40 Time: 5.40. Arm: 31 1/8. Benchx225: 21. Projected Round: 4.
John Sullivan really struggled at Michigan, taking responsibility for a few high snaps. Sullivan can also play guard.
Doug Legursky, Marshall
Height: 6-3. Weight: 311. 40 Time: 5.22. Projected Round: 4-5.
You're getting a rock if you take Legursky; he has started every game of his collegiate career.
Cody Wallace, Texas A&M
Height: 6-4. Weight: 296. Projected 40 Time: 5.22. Combine 40 Time: 5.27. Arm: 33 3/8. Benchx225: 26. Projected Round: 4-5.
Solid number of bench press reps considering his arm length.
Jamey Richard, Buffalo
Height: 6-4. Weight: 301. Projected 40 Time: 5.22. Combine 40 Time: 5.22. Benchx225: . Projected Round: 5.
Two-year starter for Buffalo. One of many MAC centers eligible for the 2008 Draft.
Drew Miller, Florida
Height: 6-5. Weight: 297. Projected 40 Time: 5.07. Pro Day 40 Time: 5.03. Benchx225: 34. Projected Round: 5-6.
Drew Miller wasn't invited to the combine (and I have no idea why), but he had a solid Pro Day, posting solid numbers in the bench, 40, vertical (30 inches) and broad jump (9-3). That should cement his status as a middle-round interior line prospect.
Started as an offensive tackle, played guard in 2006 and slated to move to center in 2007. His versatility will be enticing for some NFL teams.
Kory Lichtensteiger, Bowling Green
Height: 6-2. Weight: 298. Projected 40 Time: 5.16. Combine 40 Time: 5.19. Arm: 30 7/8. Benchx225: . Projected Round: 5-6.
No one played well against Sedrick Ellis, but Kory Lichtensteiger looked so helpless, it was as if a 12-year-old were blocking USC's monstrous nose tackle.
Arguably the best offensive lineman ever to play at Bowling Green. Lichtensteiger was in the middle of a line ranked second in rushing and third in fewest sacks allowed in MAC play.
Fernando Velasco, Georgia
Height: 6-4. Weight: 328. 40 Time: 5.06. Projected Round: 6.
Huge for a center, but definitely not slow. Raw - Fernando Velasco played guard last year.
Robbie Powell, Purdue
Height: 6-5. Weight: 307. 40 Time: 5.08. Projected Round: 6.
His size is much better than some of the prospects listed below him.
Matt Spanos, USC
Height: 6-5. Weight: 305. Projected 40 Time: 5.17. Combine 40 Time: 5.50. Pro Day 40 Time: 5.28. Benchx225: 20. Projected Round: 6.
No idea why Matt Spanos was invited to the combine over Drew Miller or Fernando Velasco.
Robbie Krutilla, Western Michigan
Height: 6-3. Weight: 308. 40 Time: 5.26. Projected Round: 6-7.
One of the larger centers in this draft class. Started every game the past three years.
Jeff Cavender, Boise State
Height: 6-1. Weight: 303. Projected 40 Time: 5.25. Pro Day 40 Time: 5.44. Benchx225: 24. Projected Round: 7.
Yet another cog in Boise State's incredible offensive line. Cavender can play guard and tackle, but is more suited to be a center at the next level.
Derrick Morse, Miami
Height: 6-3. Weight: 325. Projected 40 Time: 5.20. Pro Day 40 Time: 5.22. Arm: . Benchx225: 24. Projected Round: 7.
A natural guard who is moving to center for the 2007 season. Has knee problems.
John Masters, Michigan State
Height: 6-4. Weight: 285. 40 Time: 5.16. Projected Round: FA.
Started only three games in 2006.
Juan Garica, Washington
Height: 6-3. Weight: 315. 40 Time: 5.11. Projected Round: FA.
Played every single snap in 2006. But that doesn't mean he's durable - Juan Garcia missed the two years before that.
Isaiah Wiggins, Illinois State
Height: 6-3. Weight: 303. Projected 40 Time: 5.19. Pro Day 40 Time: 5.23. Benchx225: 20. Projected Round: FA.
Can play almost every position up front.