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College Football Picks: Week 5



College Football Picks (Week 1, 2012): 1-4 (-$460)
College Football Picks (Week 2, 2012): 3-2 (+$170)
College Football Picks (Week 3, 2012): 2-3 (-$140)
College Football Picks (Week 4, 2012): 2-3 (-$50)

College Football Picks (2012 Season): 8-12 (-$480)
College Football Picks (2011 Season): 36-32-2 (-$390)
College Football Picks (2010 Season): 37-31-2 (+$190)
College Football Picks (2009 Season): 34-34-2 (-$3,820)
College Football Picks (2008 Season): 49-38 (+$3,020)

By the way, the fourth-annual Walter/Joker Annual Challenge is on, as I'll be competing with the Joker's College Picks. We each pick five games and see who does the best each week.



Ball State at Kent State
Line: Ball State by 1.

Saturday, 12:00 p.m.

As a disclaimer, don't go nuts with my college football picks. I'm much better at picking NFL games (at least I used to be); I'm just doing these upon request. Follow @walterfootball for updates.

Ball State just pulled off two upset victories, but now it's a road favorite. I don't like that change in dynamic for them. Kent State's in a good spot.

College Football Pick: Kent State +1 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100







Arizona State at California
Line: California by 1.5.

Saturday, 4:00 p.m.

California is coming off two consecutive brutal losses to Ohio State and USC. It could be out of gas against a superior Arizona State squad.

College Football Pick: Arizona State +1.5 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300






UTEP at East Carolina
Line: East Carolina by 4.5.

Saturday, 7:00 p.m.

UTEP battled Wisconsin tough last week. I think that'll give the Miners some encouragement. They should be able to pull the upset here.

College Football Pick: UTEP +4.5 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$330






Texas-San Antonio at New Mexico State
Line: Texas-San Antonio by 1.

Saturday, 8:00 p.m.

Texas-San Antonio is undefeated and shouldn't have any issues with a New Mexico State squad that just lost to New Mexico.

College Football Pick: Texas-San Antonio -1 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200






Oregon State at Arizona
Line: Arizona by 2.5.

Saturday, 10:00 p.m.

The wrong team is favored in this matchup. Oregon State is really good, while overrated Arizona couldn't do anything against Oregon. The Wildcats will be flat coming off that loss.

College Football Pick: Oregon State +2.5 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300


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Cdog716 09-22-2011 10:13 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.160 (total posts: 2)
16     13

I took cin -4 at the half and -7 bought the half point thanks
JORDO 09-22-2011 10:09 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.237 (total posts: 2)
13     12

took cincy for -3 2nd half hope it works out
bird 09-22-2011 09:50 pm xxx.xxx.xxx7.96 (total posts: 2)
20     17

Cincinnati looks awesome. Over/Under is still up in the air borderline Id say could go either way in the 2nd half.

Im still thinking about taking Giants tonight. Anyone with me?

bird
ScrotieMcBoogerBalls 09-22-2011 09:05 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.114 (total posts: 13)
18     14

Halftime is looking like a lock! Cincy -4 (2 units!)
-Z. Collaros completions over 20.5 (.5 units) needs 11 more with 12min to go in the 2nd qtr
-DJ Woods pass receptions over 5 (.5 units) needs 4 more

Tomorrow night I like J. Godfrey rushing yards over 30.5 (.5 units)
*J. Godfrey is averaging 52 rushing yards/game and has rushed for over 40 in all 3 games*
Easy 09-22-2011 09:04 pm xxx.xxx.xxx1.55 (total posts: 3)
19     13

I took cincy -7.5 but u did good on the half thing
ScrotieMcBoogerBalls 09-22-2011 08:55 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.114 (total posts: 13)
20     19

Did anyone jump on Cincy -4 at half with me?
Sweetmullet 09-22-2011 06:23 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.124 (total posts: 14)
14     20

I think the weather's going to be a factor in this one. Scattered rain and a wet field has me eyeing the over. I do like cincy at -7 though. Homefield inclimate weather in front of what should be a sellout. I do like to bet underdogs and rely on defense on these one game televised nights, but this weather is gonna make it sloppy with slot missed tackles.
Good luck fellas

@bird
Philly has nothing to play for. They've got everything locked up and are looking into the post season. I like San Fran though.
ChicagoKid 09-22-2011 04:32 pm xxx.xxx.xxx3.58 (total posts: 7)
14     20

Fair points all - I appreciate the diolgue / thoughts. If it were easy we'd all win all the time, but not the case. I do think this line opened at 7 (maybe 6.5) and so although majority of money on home team, I think that caused the line to move up to as high as 8 (that I saw). Not saying you are not right that the sharps (or Vegas) is not on the visitor, just a POV.
shark 09-22-2011 04:20 pm xxx.xxx.xxx5.96 (total posts: 3)
19     16

HEY GUYS-----REGARDING TODAYS GAME I THINK THE BEST NET IS A PROP BET

NCST TT OVER 26.5 ---AS WE SHOULD KNOW BOTH DEFENSES ARE SWISS CHEESE ---- ALTHOUGH CINCY HAS SLIGHT EDGE ON THE OFFENSE, NCST HAS WEAPONS OF ITS OWN , TENNESSEE DISMANTLED CINCY AND WAKEF WENT TO OVER TIME WITH NCST ASIDE THOSE GAMES THEYVE PLAYED NOBODY( LIKE WF WAS SOMEBODY) .... THIS SHOULD BE AN ENTERTAINING GAME--- 2 BALL HAWKING D, BUT NCST HAS AN EDGE ON D...SO --- APROP BET MIGHT BE BEST BET HERE

BOL-----
bird 09-22-2011 04:16 pm xxx.xxx.xxx7.96 (total posts: 2)
19     14

@WALT
I like your NCAA & NFL PICKS a lot this week. I have a gut feeling this weekend you and most of us start turning things around. Now it is clear, you were a smart gambler to get out of MLB when you did and I respect that. I went on a great hot streak and won a lot but now Im gasping for air after this bad beat week. Thanks man!!! Keep doing what you do best!!!

Im still trying to work my way out of this MLB pre-postseason horrible cold streak like the rest of you. This is what Im thinking tonight. Let me know what you think about these....

PHILLIES ML (proceed w/ caution...can we trust Oswalt to get them out of the slump?)

GIANTS ML (Bumgardner has been great lately and his teams postseason hopes are high having something to play for)

CINCINNATI ATS (better team and I believe they cover tonight)

CINCINNATI/NC STATE UNDER (high scoring teams slow it down tonight and play strong defense w/ a lot of turnovers, public is pounding the over so it keeps going up)

I dont know...baseball has me all twisted up and pissed off. Good Luck. Let me know if you have insight on these.

bird
Potski 09-22-2011 03:59 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.243 (total posts: 6)
14     19

@ChicagoKid

Good luck to you 2 sir, Cincy might take it no doubt but, look who they have played and all the points those team have given up... Cincy offense might be looking good through those tainted glasses.... I might be 1000% wrong but I think NC +7.5 is the play... Also look that 76% of the bets placed are on Cincy..the line goes down... that tells me the big money and big guys are all on NC State..JMHO
Flyers 1 09-22-2011 03:45 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.196 (total posts: 24)
43     19

NCAAF ATS Perfect Trends Week 4

Arkansas 5-0 away off BB SU wins
Ball St 0-6 home vs < .500 opp off SU win
Baylor 0-7 vs opp w/revenge
Buffalo 0-5 Home
Colorado 6-0 away off DD SU win vs > .600 opp off SUATS loss
Fla Atlantic 0-5 off BB SU losses vs .600 > opp
Kansas St 8-0 off DD SU win
Miami Fla 0-5 in 2nd of BB HG's
Michigan 0-7 RF 6 > vs opp off BB SU wins
Mid Tenn St 5-0 fav 11 > pts
0-6 w/rest
Mississippi 5-0 off SU fav loss
Oklahoma St 0-5 dog 4 < in 2nd of BB RG's
Rutgers 0-8 favs < 7 pts
SMU 0-5 after score 40 > pts
South Carolina 5-0 home off DD ATS loss
Southern Miss 0-7 dog vs opp off DD SU L
Texas Tech 0-5 off SUATS win
Toledo 7-0 off SU loss 20 > pts
Tulane 0-5 off SU dog win
Virginia 7-0 after North Carolina
Western Michigan 0-6 DD RD's

GOOD LUCK
ChicagoKid 09-22-2011 03:43 pm xxx.xxx.xxx3.58 (total posts: 7)
15     19

Good luck Potski....I think that break-down is enough in this case, but if you want we could talk about how they are on the road (usually worse for bad teams); Cincy is pretty solid, at least on O; and it will be a hostile crowd for ESPN in Cincy. Thought that was a bit much initially, but apparently not.
Potski 09-22-2011 03:26 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.243 (total posts: 6)
14     14

@Chicago Kid

"NC State is not good. "

Really, is this your game breakdown?

NC State +7.5....big
ChicagoKid 09-22-2011 03:07 pm xxx.xxx.xxx3.58 (total posts: 7)
17     13

I like Cincy, and also like the selection below of Cincy -4 at the break. NC State is not good.




2013 Fantasy Football Rankings - May 21


2014 NFL Mock Draft - May 21


Charlie's 2014 NFL Mock Draft - May 20


2013 NBA Mock Draft - May 3


NFL Picks - Feb. 3


2004 Against the Spread: 57-51-2 (52.8%)
2006 Against the Spread: 112-103-4 (52.1%)
2007 Picks Against the Spread: 73-65-3, 52.9% (+$1,030)
2008 College Football Picks: 49-38, 56.3% (+$3,020)
2009 College Football Picks: 35-38-3, 50.0% (-$4,770)
2010 College Football Picks: 37-31-2, 54.4% (+$190)
2010 College Football Picks: 3-2, 60.0% (+$50)

2004 2-3 Unit College Picks: 20-13-1 (60.7%)
2006 2-3 Unit College Picks: 60-56-1 (51.7%)
2007 2-3 Unit College Picks: 43-36-2, 54.4% (+$1,280)
2008 2-3 Unit College Picks: 23-20, 53.5% (+$650)
2009 2-3 Unit College Picks: 20-19-3, 54.1% (-$780)

2006 4-5 Unit College Picks: 13-16 (44.8%)
2007 4-5 Unit College Picks: 20-17-2, 54.1% (+$810)
2008 4-5 Unit College Picks: 13-10, 56.5% (+$860)
2009 4-5 Unit College Picks: 9-16, 39.1% (-$4,140)

2006 NCAA Picks of the Month: 1-0 (100%)
2007 NCAA Picks of the Month: 2-1-1, 66.7% (+$580)
2008 College Football Picks of the Month: 4-2, 66.7% (+$1,260)
2009 College Football Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)

Career College Football Picks: 471-429-15, 52.3% (+$40)
Career 2-3 Unit College Picks: 192-160-6, 54.5% (+$2,810)
Career 4-5 Unit College Picks: 60-64-2, 48.4% (-$2,650)
Career Picks of the Month: 9-6-1, 60.0% (+$930)


2012 Week: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | Pre-New Years Bowls | Post-New Years Bowls |

2011 Week: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |

2010 Week: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | BCS Bowls |

2009 Week: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |

2008 Week: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |

2007 Week: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |


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