Week 8 notes...Hey guys, I unearthed some interesting situational trends/angles for this week. First off, road teams coming off of a tie are 0-7 SU and ATS the following week, losing by an avg. of 19.3 points. This makes sense considering they played an entire extra quarter, and now have to travel. This puts Seattle and Arizona in very tough spots. Seattle has to go on at 10 AM local time against Drew Bress. The Saints are averaging 36 PPG at home this season. Seattle's defense was also on the field for 47 minutes on Sunday! That's like playing a game and a half in one night. The Cardinals have to face a Panthers team coming off of a bye. Teams off a bye are 34-15 SU against teams who just played an OT game...I like how Walter lists Carolina as an underrated team. They are only giving the standard 3 points this week, and the public isn't really betting on them that much as of right now. They final appear to be a in a decent betting position....On to the New England game. Under Belichick, the Patriots are 10-2 ATS and 11-1 SU in regular season revenge games. With Brady, they are 8-0 SUATS. Brady didn't play in the first game against the Bills, but he should be completely focused considering this is his first game vs. an AFC East foe since his return. And finally, the last four times New England was looking for revenge in the regular season, they won by a combined score of 166-51! Trends and angles don't mean everything, but I still wanted to pass along this info.
The Ravens send the Chargers their 1st and 3rd rd picks this yr and next for their 1st rd pick
The Cowboys send QB Romo to the Jest for their 2nd rd pick
The Dolphins sned QB Tanneyhill to the 49ers for their 2nd rd pick
The Bears send QB Cutler to the Dolphins for their 2nd rd pick
College Football Picks (Week 1, 2011): 3-2 (+$50) College Football Picks (Week 2, 2011): 2-2-1 (+$370) College Football Picks (Week 3, 2011): 2-3 (-$380) College Football Picks (Week 4, 2011): 3-2 (+$270) College Football Picks (Week 5, 2011): 4-1 (+$580) College Football Picks (Week 6, 2011): 2-3 (-$570) College Football Picks (Week 7, 2011): 3-1-1 (+$150) College Football Picks (Week 8, 2011): 2-3 (-$180) College Football Picks (Week 9, 2011): 2-3 (-$70) College Football Picks (Week 10, 2011): 3-2 (-$60) College Football Picks (Week 11, 2011): 2-3 (-$270) College Football Picks (Week 12, 2011): 3-2 (+$50)
College Football Picks (2011 Season): 31-27-2 (+$10) College Football Picks (2010 Season): 37-31-2 (+$190) College Football Picks (2009 Season): 34-34-2 (-$3,820) College Football Picks (2008 Season): 49-38 (+$3,020)
By the way, the fourth-annual Walter/Joker Annual Challenge is on, as I'll be competing with the Joker's College Picks. We each pick five games and see who does the best each week.
Arkansas at LSU Line: LSU by 12. Friday, 2:30 p.m.
As a disclaimer, don't go nuts with my college football picks. I'm much better at picking NFL games (though not this year); I'm just doing these upon request. Follow @walterfootball for updates.
Let's get right to the big game. This is it for LSU. If the Tigers win this, they go to the SEC Championship, and if they win that, they get the chance to play for the co-national championship (assuming Houston keeps on winning). If the Tigers fall, however, their season is over. That's a lot of pressure on a group of 18- to 22-year-olds. Arkansas is playing with house money here.
College Football Pick: Arkansas +12 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$330
Colorado at Utah Line: Utah by 22. Friday, 3:30 p.m.
I don't see how this game is going to be close. To quote Franchize, "Colorado is f***ing trash."
College Football Pick: Utah -22 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220
Duke at North Carolina Line: North Carolina by 12.5. Saturday, 3:30 p.m.
This is a pretty big rivalry, so I expect Duke to keep it close against a North Carolina team that might not be interested.
College Football Pick: Duke +12.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110
Illinois at Minnesota Line: Illinois by 10.5. Saturday, 3:30 p.m.
I know Minnesota sucks, but Illinois has dropped five in a row. They don't deserve to be double-digit road favorites.
College Football Pick: Minnesota +10.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
Ole Miss at Mississippi State Line: Mississippi State by 17. Saturday, 7:00 p.m.
Mississippi State is coming off a tough loss, and I doubt they'll be up for battling their lesser in-state rival.
College Football Pick: Ole Miss +17 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220