Week 8 notes...Hey guys, I unearthed some interesting situational trends/angles for this week. First off, road teams coming off of a tie are 0-7 SU and ATS the following week, losing by an avg. of 19.3 points. This makes sense considering they played an entire extra quarter, and now have to travel. This puts Seattle and Arizona in very tough spots. Seattle has to go on at 10 AM local time against Drew Bress. The Saints are averaging 36 PPG at home this season. Seattle's defense was also on the field for 47 minutes on Sunday! That's like playing a game and a half in one night. The Cardinals have to face a Panthers team coming off of a bye. Teams off a bye are 34-15 SU against teams who just played an OT game...I like how Walter lists Carolina as an underrated team. They are only giving the standard 3 points this week, and the public isn't really betting on them that much as of right now. They final appear to be a in a decent betting position....On to the New England game. Under Belichick, the Patriots are 10-2 ATS and 11-1 SU in regular season revenge games. With Brady, they are 8-0 SUATS. Brady didn't play in the first game against the Bills, but he should be completely focused considering this is his first game vs. an AFC East foe since his return. And finally, the last four times New England was looking for revenge in the regular season, they won by a combined score of 166-51! Trends and angles don't mean everything, but I still wanted to pass along this info.
The Ravens send the Chargers their 1st and 3rd rd picks this yr and next for their 1st rd pick
The Cowboys send QB Romo to the Jest for their 2nd rd pick
The Dolphins sned QB Tanneyhill to the 49ers for their 2nd rd pick
The Bears send QB Cutler to the Dolphins for their 2nd rd pick
College Football Picks (Week 1, 2011): 3-2 (+$50) College Football Picks (Week 2, 2011): 2-2-1 (+$370) College Football Picks (Week 3, 2011): 2-3 (-$380) College Football Picks (Week 4, 2011): 3-2 (+$270) College Football Picks (Week 5, 2011): 4-1 (+$580) College Football Picks (Week 6, 2011): 2-3 (-$570) College Football Picks (Week 7, 2011): 3-1-1 (+$150) College Football Picks (Week 8, 2011): 2-3 (-$180) College Football Picks (Week 9, 2011): 2-3 (-$70) College Football Picks (Week 10, 2011): 3-2 (-$60) College Football Picks (Week 11, 2011): 2-3 (-$270)
College Football Picks (2011 Season): 28-25-2 (-$40) College Football Picks (2010 Season): 37-31-2 (+$190) College Football Picks (2009 Season): 34-34-2 (-$3,820) College Football Picks (2008 Season): 49-38 (+$3,020)
By the way, the fourth-annual Walter/Joker Annual Challenge is on, as I'll be competing with the Joker's College Picks. We each pick five games and see who does the best each week.
Kentucky at Georgia Line: Georgia by 30.5. Saturday, 12:20 p.m.
As a disclaimer, don't go nuts with my college football picks. I'm much better at picking NFL games (though not this year); I'm just doing these upon request. Follow @walterfootball for updates.
Georgia is on fire, and I expect them to smash through crappy Kentucky without much effort.
College Football Pick: Georgia -30.5 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$330
LSU at Ole Miss Line: LSU by 30. Saturday, 3:30 p.m.
The second of three large favorites I'm taking this week. LSU could have this covered by halftime.
College Football Pick: LSU -30 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
Colorado State at TCU Line: TCU by 33. Saturday, 3:30 p.m.
And the third large favorite. Regardless of TCU is flat off its victory over Boise State, Colorado State absolutely blows.
College Football Pick: TCU -33 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220
California at Stanford Line: Stanford by 17.5. Saturday, 3:30 p.m.
Might as well balance out my large favorites with a big dog. Stanford's season is over, so I expect the Cardinal to be really flat against Cal.
College Football Pick: California +17.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
Boise State at San Diego State Line: Boise State by 18. Saturday, 8:00 p.m.
Like Stanford, Boise State's going to be flat. The Broncos have been overrated anyway. They nearly lost to Air Force.
College Football Pick: San Diego State +18 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200