Week 8 notes...Hey guys, I unearthed some interesting situational trends/angles for this week. First off, road teams coming off of a tie are 0-7 SU and ATS the following week, losing by an avg. of 19.3 points. This makes sense considering they played an entire extra quarter, and now have to travel. This puts Seattle and Arizona in very tough spots. Seattle has to go on at 10 AM local time against Drew Bress. The Saints are averaging 36 PPG at home this season. Seattle's defense was also on the field for 47 minutes on Sunday! That's like playing a game and a half in one night. The Cardinals have to face a Panthers team coming off of a bye. Teams off a bye are 34-15 SU against teams who just played an OT game...I like how Walter lists Carolina as an underrated team. They are only giving the standard 3 points this week, and the public isn't really betting on them that much as of right now. They final appear to be a in a decent betting position....On to the New England game. Under Belichick, the Patriots are 10-2 ATS and 11-1 SU in regular season revenge games. With Brady, they are 8-0 SUATS. Brady didn't play in the first game against the Bills, but he should be completely focused considering this is his first game vs. an AFC East foe since his return. And finally, the last four times New England was looking for revenge in the regular season, they won by a combined score of 166-51! Trends and angles don't mean everything, but I still wanted to pass along this info.
College Football Picks (Week 1, 2011): 3-2 (+$50) College Football Picks (Week 2, 2011): 2-2-1 (+$370) College Football Picks (Week 3, 2011): 2-3 (-$380)
College Football Picks (2011 Season): 7-7-1 (+$40) College Football Picks (2010 Season): 37-31-2 (+$190) College Football Picks (2009 Season): 34-34-2 (-$3,820) College Football Picks (2008 Season): 49-38 (+$3,020)
By the way, the fourth-annual Walter/Joker Annual Challenge is on, as I'll be competing with the Joker's College Picks. We each pick five games and see who does the best each week.
Central Florida at BYU Line: BYU by 3. Friday, 8:00 p.m.
As a disclaimer, don't go nuts with my college football picks. I'm much better at picking NFL games; I'm just doing these upon request. Follow @walterfootball for updates.
BYU was just blown out, but I like them to bounce back as a weeknight home favorite.
College Football Pick: BYU -3 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300
Notre Dame at Pittsburgh Line: Notre Dame by 6.5. Saturday, 12:00 p.m.
Notre Dame was always a good team; it just lost a fluke game to underrated South Florida and then was flat at Michigan. The Irish will continue to rebound.
College Football Pick: Notre Dame -6.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110
Florida State at Clemson Line: Clemson by 2. Saturday, 3:30 p.m.
Florida State was billed as the next big thing, but suffered a home loss to Oklahoma. I don't think the Seminoles will be able to bounce back from that this week.
College Football Pick: Clemson -2 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
Louisiana-Lafayette at Florida International Line: Florida International by 17. Saturday, 6:00 p.m.
This may seem like a totally random game, but I'm wary of teams that have been winning as underdogs and are now favored by a wide margin. This is not a good spot for Florida International.
College Football Pick: Louisiana Lafayette +17 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
Tulsa at Boise State Line: Boise State by 28.5. Saturday, 8:00 p.m.
Boise State's on a mission - and I'm going along for the ride.
College Football Pick: Boise State -28.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220