The Debacle


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07/21 02:04 AM EST 1 hour(s) 38 minute(s) ago view page »

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07/21 12:21 AM EST 3 hour(s) 22 minute(s) ago view page »

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National Basketball Association Picking Games
Reply on: WalterFootball.com: NBA Picks Against the Spread
Replying to...
fuqer 1403 Posts (3782 )

Friday Plays 7/21

»-Rangers -108
»-Yankees -104

»-Braves/Dodgers Under 7.5 -108
_______________________

I got the Rangers -116, so showing a little value and Darvish has a 5-0 team record vs the Rays.

I got the Yankees at -122, so nice value, but as I said before, I'm not a strict value player or I would of never played the Angels last night. Sabathia has a 17-5 team record vs the Mariners and 10-1 in Seattle.

I came up with 6.4 as the total in the Braves/Dodgers game. Wood has been good all year and Garcia has been strong on the Road recently.
_______________________

I like the Phillies and Twins but not loving the prices and I'm waiting on the total to be released for the Cubs game, if it's 8 or over I may play the Under. 

Over projections for the Rockies and Rays games.

Small leans on the Astros, Cardinals, Indians and Pirates.


The Reply:
fuqer 0 Posts (3782 )

Added:

»-Pirates   +130
»-Padres   +148

_____________________

Pirates 9-1 L10 games in Colorado, 14-4 overall in series.

Padres 14-5 L19 vs the Giants, 5-1 L6 in San Fran.

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07/20 09:46 PM EST 5 hour(s) 57 minute(s) ago view page »

Reader Comment
Comment on: WalterFootball.com: 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft
Jeff (Anonymous Poster)

Keep tom brady and give up sixth round pick.  👍

Keep davante adams and give up 12th round pick.  👎

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07/20 09:43 PM EST 6 hour(s) 0 minute(s) ago view page »

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07/20 08:06 PM EST 7 hour(s) 36 minute(s) ago view page »

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07/20 07:36 PM EST 8 hour(s) 7 minute(s) ago view page »

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fuqer 0 Posts (3782 )

Friday Plays 7/21

»-Rangers -108
»-Yankees -104

»-Braves/Dodgers Under 7.5 -108
_______________________

I got the Rangers -116, so showing a little value and Darvish has a 5-0 team record vs the Rays.

I got the Yankees at -122, so nice value, but as I said before, I'm not a strict value player or I would of never played the Angels last night. Sabathia has a 17-5 team record vs the Mariners and 10-1 in Seattle.

I came up with 6.4 as the total in the Braves/Dodgers game. Wood has been good all year and Garcia has been strong on the Road recently.
_______________________

I like the Phillies and Twins but not loving the prices and I'm waiting on the total to be released for the Cubs game, if it's 8 or over I may play the Under. 

Over projections for the Rockies and Rays games.

Small leans on the Astros, Cardinals, Indians and Pirates.

Reply now...

07/20 05:47 PM EST 9 hour(s) 55 minute(s) ago view page »

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07/20 05:38 PM EST 10 hour(s) 5 minute(s) ago view page »

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07/20 05:28 PM EST 10 hour(s) 14 minute(s) ago view page »

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07/20 04:13 PM EST 11 hour(s) 29 minute(s) ago view page »

Reader Comment
Comment on: WalterFootball.com: 2017 NFL Offseason Page - Minnesota Vikings - Team Needs, Season Preview, Free Agents, Salary Cap
Ulee (Anonymous Poster)
Sam Bradford is better than you give him credit for.
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07/20 02:36 PM EST 13 hour(s) 6 minute(s) ago view page »

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Comment on: WalterFootball.com: 2017 NFL Offseason Page - Cleveland Browns - Team Needs, Season Preview, Free Agents, Salary Cap
Mr Kochh (Anonymous Poster)

The Browns will be able to move the ball consistently via a strong ground game and a passing attack that will mix quick, simple read throws with deeper timing routes (they have the offensive line to do that this year).  

The defense added playmakers in several spots.  The addition of Gregg Williams and conversion back to a base 4-3 will help tremendously.  The days of running up 180 yards plus on the ground against this Browns defense are pretty much over.  Only a couple of question marks at FS and WLB.  

I think this Browns team can win 6-8 games.  Cinci will be weaker without an offensive line.  Dalton is bad under pressure.  Steelers are still the class of the division, but the Browns should compete with the Ravens for the 2 spot in this division.  

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07/20 02:16 PM EST 13 hour(s) 26 minute(s) ago view page »

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Comment on: WalterFootball.com: 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft
Job B (Anonymous Poster)
As a falcons fan having to watch that trash they refer to as defense for the last 5 years, its weird seeing them as a viable FF option.
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07/20 01:40 PM EST 14 hour(s) 2 minute(s) ago view page »

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Comment on: NFL Coach Fire and Hire Grades: WalterFootball.com
ProteinBarr (Anonymous Poster)
It's easy to say Gettlemen whiffed on Lotulelei in hindsight but in the moment it was a homerun selection. The Panthers had nothing at DT and got gashed all season by even mediocre running teams. Lotulelei was slated to be a top five pick before the heart issue arose and Sheldon Richardson came off the board one pick before the Panthers. Had they drafted anyone but Lotulelei, the fan base would have flipped tables.
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07/20 12:43 PM EST 15 hour(s) 0 minute(s) ago view page »

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07/20 11:58 AM EST 15 hour(s) 45 minute(s) ago view page »

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chucksteratdiffcomputer (Anonymous Poster)
Pretty bad night in MLB choices for me and I hope to avoid the "golden sombrero" in todays  picks.  For today: going in the second tier spot of an ongoing 3 team par from last night will be the Dodgers -220.  Start up par with the Cards +111,  Dodgers -220, one open.  Another:  AZ +120,  Dodgers -220,  one open.  Good luck today folks. 
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07/20 03:10 AM EST 1 day(s) 0 hour(s) ago view page »

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07/20 02:06 AM EST 1 day(s) 1 hour(s) ago view page »

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07/20 12:10 AM EST 1 day(s) 3 hour(s) ago view page »

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fuqer 1398 Posts (3781 )

Thursday Plays 7/20

»-Tigers     -110  (2 units)
»-Rangers  -112  (2 units)

»-Tigers/Royals   Over  9   +102
__________________________


The Reply:
fuqer 0 Posts (3781 )

Added:

»-D-Backs  +101
»-Braves   +193

_______________


Reply now...

07/19 10:57 PM EST 1 day(s) 4 hour(s) ago view page »

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fuqer 0 Posts (3781 )
Friday Projections


BOS@ (-200 66.7%) () (+1.8) - (6.7)  - Sale/Nolasco 
WAS@ (-121 54.7%) () (+1.7) - (8.6)  - Scherzer/Corbin 
@LAD (-181 64.4%) () (+1.1) - (6.4)  - Foltynewicz/McCarthy 
TEX@ (-116 53.8%) () (+1.0) - (7.8)  - Darvish/Cobb
@NYM (-175 63.7%) () (+1.0) - (8.2)  - Blackburn/Matz 
NYY@ (-122 54.9%) () (+0.9) - (8.2)  - Sabathia/Moore 
@PHI (-105 51.2%) () (+0.7) - (8.4)  - Garza/Nola
@MIN (-118 54.2%) () (+0.7) - (9.4)  - Sanchez/Santana 
@KC  (-104 51.0%) () (+0.6) - (9.8)  - Shields/Kennedy 
HOU@ (-160 61.6%) () (+0.5) - (9.1)  - Fiers/Jimenez 
STL@ (+106 48.6%) () (+0.2) - (7.0)  - Martinez/Arrieta
@CLE (-143 58.8%) () (+0.2) - (9.1)  - Estrada/Bauer 
PIT@ (+110 47.6%) () (+0.1) - (12.2) - Williams/Hoffman 
@CIN (-110 52.5%) () (+0.0) - (9.7)  - Urena/Bailey 
@SF  (-106 51.4%) () (+0.0) - (7.2)  - Cahill/Samardzija 
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07/19 10:50 PM EST 1 day(s) 4 hour(s) ago view page »

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07/19 10:43 PM EST 1 day(s) 5 hour(s) ago view page »

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07/19 10:18 PM EST 1 day(s) 5 hour(s) ago view page »

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07/19 08:53 PM EST 1 day(s) 6 hour(s) ago view page »

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fuqer 1398 Posts (3781 )

Thursday Plays 7/20

»-Tigers     -110  (2 units)
»-Rangers  -112  (2 units)

»-Tigers/Royals   Over  9   +102
__________________________


The Reply:
fuqer 0 Posts (3781 )
Starting to really like tomorrow's small card.

LEANS

D-Backs@     -123
Braves@      +196
@Red Sox    -118
Cardinals@   -105
Brewers@    +110

Rangers/Orioles      Under 10   -113
D-Backs/Reds         Under 10   -118

Braves/Dodgers     Under 8    +100
Brewers/Pirates     Under 8    +100
Padres/Giants        Under 7    -108

Yankees/Mariners  Over 8      -118
Blue Jays/Red Sox Over 10    -118
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07/19 08:34 PM EST 1 day(s) 7 hour(s) ago view page »

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fuqer 0 Posts (3781 )

Thursday Plays 7/20

»-Tigers     -110  (2 units)
»-Rangers  -112  (2 units)

»-Tigers/Royals   Over  9   +102
__________________________

Reply now...

07/19 08:06 PM EST 1 day(s) 7 hour(s) ago view page »

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fuqer 1396 Posts (3781 )

Wednesday Plays 7/19

»-D-Backs    RL   -103

»-Cubs/Braves Under 9.5 -108
___________________________

5-1 last night, going for my 3rd str8 winning day. 

On the fence with the Rays, Braves, Rangers, White Sox, and Yankees/Twins Under and Cardinals/Mets Under.


The Reply:
fuqer 0 Posts (3781 )

Added:

»-Angels       -116

_______________________

This is a suspect line play where it looks like the books are taking a side for unknown reasons.

The Angels have lost their last 5 vs lefties overall, outscored 40-10 in those games. 1-5 L6 at Home vs lefties outscored 35-13, but they are favorites against a team that scores 5.73 runs on the road? Harper is out for rest, but that don't add up. 
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07/19 07:05 PM EST 1 day(s) 8 hour(s) ago view page »

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fuqer 1396 Posts (3781 )

Wednesday Plays 7/19

»-D-Backs    RL   -103

»-Cubs/Braves Under 9.5 -108
___________________________

5-1 last night, going for my 3rd str8 winning day. 

On the fence with the Rays, Braves, Rangers, White Sox, and Yankees/Twins Under and Cardinals/Mets Under.


The Reply:
fuqer 0 Posts (3781 )

PARLAY: $1.79 to win 1 unit

Pirates    -157 
Mets       -168 
D-Backs  -154
Royals    -103

Nationals/Angels   Over   8.5   -127
Blue Jays/Red Sox Under 9.5   -110

_______________________________

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07/19 06:43 PM EST 1 day(s) 8 hour(s) ago view page »

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National Basketball Association Picking Games
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Replying to...
fuqer 1396 Posts (3781 )

Wednesday Plays 7/19

»-D-Backs    RL   -103

»-Cubs/Braves Under 9.5 -108
___________________________

5-1 last night, going for my 3rd str8 winning day. 

On the fence with the Rays, Braves, Rangers, White Sox, and Yankees/Twins Under and Cardinals/Mets Under.


The Reply:
fuqer 0 Posts (3781 )

Added:

»-White Sox    +175

»-Rangers/Orioles  Under 10    +105
»-Cardinals/Mets   Under 8      +100

_______________________________

It looked like I was on the right side on that Cubs Under but that managed to get a bunch of run late to go over by half a run.

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07/19 05:57 PM EST 1 day(s) 9 hour(s) ago view page »

Reader Comment
Reply on: WalterFootball.com: 2017 NFL Offseason Page - San Francisco 49ers - Team Needs, Season Preview, Free Agents, Salary Cap
Replying to...
4evrnyt (Anonymous Poster)
Hoyer and Shanny are good for at least 7 wins when you look at their division and schedule.  

The Reply:
proaoghne;rg (Anonymous Poster)
@4evrnyt 7 wins. LOL!!!!!!! Cousins ain't going to the 49ers either. They're a garbage team.
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07/19 05:31 PM EST 1 day(s) 10 hour(s) ago view page »

Reader Comment
Comment on: WalterFootball.com: 2017 NFL Offseason Page - San Francisco 49ers - Team Needs, Season Preview, Free Agents, Salary Cap
Travis (Anonymous Poster)

Hoyer and Shanahan have a good working relationship that will go a long way towards building that program and developing the young talent.

This article explains what the Niners offense will look like in 2017.

http://www.thirdand10.com/hoyers-niners/

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07/19 05:30 PM EST 1 day(s) 10 hour(s) ago view page »

Reader Comment
Reply on: WalterFootball.com: 2017 NFL Offseason Page - Arizona Cardinals - Team Needs, Season Preview, Free Agents, Salary Cap
Replying to...
Mad Max (Anonymous Poster)
This team has all the makings of a team that's about ready to collapse. Outside of a couple odd games last year versus Seattle, the Cardinals didn't outplay a single team last year besides the two worst teams on their schedule (Jets and Niners). This is a old QB that lost lots of talent.

The Reply:
Mad Max (Anonymous Poster)
@Mad Max 

Forgot to add they had the 27th ranked passing offense at football outsiders despite facing the 30th ranked defenses in the NFL last year
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07/19 05:28 PM EST 1 day(s) 10 hour(s) ago view page »

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Comment on: WalterFootball.com: 2017 NFL Offseason Page - Arizona Cardinals - Team Needs, Season Preview, Free Agents, Salary Cap
Mad Max (Anonymous Poster)
This team has all the makings of a team that's about ready to collapse. Outside of a couple odd games last year versus Seattle, the Cardinals didn't outplay a single team last year besides the two worst teams on their schedule (Jets and Niners). This is a old QB that lost lots of talent.
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07/19 04:19 PM EST 1 day(s) 11 hour(s) ago view page »

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07/19 04:19 PM EST 1 day(s) 11 hour(s) ago view page »

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07/19 03:13 PM EST 1 day(s) 12 hour(s) ago view page »

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Comment on: WalterFootball.com: The WalterFootball.com Podcast, Episode 77
you_@[email protected] (Anonymous Poster)
Stannis held Storms' End castle during Robert's Rebellion, not Dragonstone. Dragonstone is the ancestral home of the Targaryans and wasn't conquered until after Dany and Viserys fled after King's Landing was sacked. Robert gave Stannis Dragonstone as a reward and Renly got the Baratheon home of Storms' End. Storms' End is one of the most impregnable fortresses in ASOIAF along with the Eyrie (you need dragons or an endless supply of disposable soldiers to take Eyrie, or starve them out).
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07/19 03:05 PM EST 1 day(s) 12 hour(s) ago view page »

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Reply on: WalterFootball.com: 2017 NFL Offseason Page - Detroit Lions - Team Needs, Season Preview, Free Agents, Salary Cap
Replying to...
Lol (Anonymous Poster)
2016 Projection: 4-12. 2016 Actual Result: 10-6.

The Reply:
Walter Football is Bad (Anonymous Poster)
@Lol More proof that this white trash POS named Walt doesn't know @#$@ about football. His predictions are garbage and so is he.
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07/19 01:54 PM EST 1 day(s) 13 hour(s) ago view page »

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07/19 01:54 PM EST 1 day(s) 13 hour(s) ago view page »

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07/19 01:35 PM EST 1 day(s) 14 hour(s) ago view page »

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07/19 01:24 PM EST 1 day(s) 14 hour(s) ago view page »

Reader Comment
Comment on: WalterFootball.com: 2017 NFL Offseason Page - Baltimore Ravens - Team Needs, Season Preview, Free Agents, Salary Cap
Mike (Anonymous Poster)

That was a terrible assessment. All of the below commentary is completely ridiculous with the exception of that on James Hurst.

This includes the front line, which lost stud right tackle Ricky Wagner to free agency this offseason. There was some speculation that the Ravens would select Cam Robinson No. 16 overall, but they passed on him. As a result, they have no viable solution at right tackle, as Alex Lewis and James Hurst are the only other options, and they are both horrible.

Elsewhere, Mike Wallace is an inconsistent deep threat who drops tons of passes. 
All the positions you listed as 2 stars should probably be 3 stars, but I understand that you're clearly a Steelers fan based on that write up.

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07/19 12:59 PM EST 1 day(s) 14 hour(s) ago view page »

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Comment on: WalterFootball.com: NBA Picks Against the Spread
chucksteratdiffcomputer (Anonymous Poster)
For today: I have two ongoing pars from last night, going in the second tier spots  will be AZ -153 in one and Nats -110 in the other. one open still in each par.  Start up par with:  Astros -110,  Dpdgers -152, one open.  Another:  Red Sox -132,  two open.  GL to all today/tonight. 
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07/19 12:53 PM EST 1 day(s) 14 hour(s) ago view page »

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chucksteratdiffcomputer (Anonymous Poster)
I go 3-2 in MLB yesterday and Unfortunately, Again,  my two loses could not have been positioned worse.  I closed a three team par with the Dodgers -1.5 RL  and of course Kershaw wins with a score of .....1-0,,,Argg.  I also put the Indians in the very important second tier spot of another ongoing par and of course they lose  to the,  wait for it....Giants......Argg.  First losing coin day for me in about a week,  so I guess I'll just shut up and go forward. Congrats to winners and back in a while with plays for today.

The Reply:
chucksteratdiddcomputer (Anonymous Poster)
Correction on my last post:  I went 2-3 last night in MLB...not 3-2.
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07/19 11:58 AM EST 1 day(s) 15 hour(s) ago view page »

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chucksteratdiffcomputer (Anonymous Poster)
I go 3-2 in MLB yesterday and Unfortunately, Again,  my two loses could not have been positioned worse.  I closed a three team par with the Dodgers -1.5 RL  and of course Kershaw wins with a score of .....1-0,,,Argg.  I also put the Indians in the very important second tier spot of another ongoing par and of course they lose  to the,  wait for it....Giants......Argg.  First losing coin day for me in about a week,  so I guess I'll just shut up and go forward. Congrats to winners and back in a while with plays for today.
Reply now...

07/19 11:17 AM EST 1 day(s) 16 hour(s) ago view page »

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Comment on: WalterFootball.com: 2017 NFL Offseason Page - Detroit Lions - Team Needs, Season Preview, Free Agents, Salary Cap
Lol (Anonymous Poster)
2016 Projection: 4-12. 2016 Actual Result: 10-6.
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07/19 11:15 AM EST 1 day(s) 16 hour(s) ago view page »

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Comment on: WalterFootball.com: 2018 NFL Mock Draft: First Round Continued
SteelerFan21 (Anonymous Poster)
Josh Rosen scores big if he ends up in Arizona. I feel like he'll still go top 10 but if not, you just put him in the best situation of all the quarterbacks in the draft!
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07/19 08:59 AM EST 1 day(s) 18 hour(s) ago view page »

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fuqer 1394 Posts (3781 )

Wednesday Plays 7/19

»-D-Backs    RL   -103

»-Cubs/Braves Under 9.5 -108
___________________________

5-1 last night, going for my 3rd str8 winning day. 

On the fence with the Rays, Braves, Rangers, White Sox, and Yankees/Twins Under and Cardinals/Mets Under.


The Reply:
fuqer 0 Posts (3781 )
Early Thursday Projections


@SF   (-148 59.7%) (6.9) 
TEX@ (-115 53.5%) (8.6) 
@LAD (-149 59.8%) (7.7) 
DET@ (-102 50.6%) (9.5) 
NYY@ (-115 53.4%) (7.7) 
ARI@  (-129 56.4%) (9.1) 
@BOS (-145 58.2%) (9.8) 
STL@  (-106 51.4%) (8.2) 
@PIT   (-108 51.9%) (7.9)

__________________________

I like the Tigers and Rangers for Thursday.
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07/19 03:50 AM EST 1 day(s) 23 hour(s) ago view page »

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07/19 02:48 AM EST 2 day(s) 0 hour(s) ago view page »

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fuqer 0 Posts (3781 )

Wednesday Plays 7/19

»-D-Backs    RL   -103

»-Cubs/Braves Under 9.5 -108
___________________________

5-1 last night, going for my 3rd str8 winning day. 

On the fence with the Rays, Braves, Rangers, White Sox, and Yankees/Twins Under and Cardinals/Mets Under.

Reply now...

07/19 01:58 AM EST 2 day(s) 1 hour(s) ago view page »

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07/18 11:14 PM EST 2 day(s) 4 hour(s) ago view page »

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Comment on: WalterFootball.com: 2018 NFL Mock Draft: Second Round
Anonymous (Anonymous Poster)
Derrius Guice in the second round? Seriously? I don't know what LSU offense you were watching last year but he was the most important player not named Fournette for them. Some (myself included) might go as far as saying he was the better of the two backs. All he does is make plays. He makes better cuts, has as power comparable to Fournette and could be an asset in the return game. I know this came out in June but seriously? This kid is a 10 LOCK.  
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07/18 09:30 PM EST 2 day(s) 6 hour(s) ago view page »

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chucksteratdiffcomputer (Anonymous Poster)
Closing an ongoing par from last night with the Dodgers (Kershaw) -1.5 RL -175....I guess I should be grateful that LA is on the road,  otherwise the friggin RL would be something like -225....yikes.  Anyway, start up par with AZ -145,  Indians -139,  one open.  Another: Astros -178,  two open.  Another:  Rockies -135,  two open.  Oh yea, in the above closing par with LA,  I'm hedging for 25 percent on the comeback with the White Sox +1.5 RL.  That's it for me today, GL everybody.
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07/18 02:41 PM EST 2 day(s) 13 hour(s) ago view page »

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Comment on: WalterFootball.com: 2017 NFL Betting Props
Mattt (Anonymous Poster)

Am I reading ESPN? All the great teams are gonna be great and all the bad teams are gonna be awful.

Thanks for the insight Walt

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07/18 12:57 PM EST 2 day(s) 14 hour(s) ago view page »

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National Football League
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Comment on: NFL Retirement and Injury Ratings: WalterFootball.com
Smokey The Bear (Anonymous Poster)
 If I know anything it's fires. Where is is smoke there is fire. Ezekiel Elliot is a powder keg sitting in a welding shop. With all the sparks around him, eventually he's going to blow.
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07/18 10:28 AM EST 2 day(s) 17 hour(s) ago view page »

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Comment on: WalterFootball.com: Jerks of the Week
Dro (Anonymous Poster)
Ah, the circumlocution office strikes again!

Meanwhile, today we found out that Walt went through his entire childhood without enjoying a glass of Nesquik (ne Nestle Quik). Well that stinks!
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07/18 09:59 AM EST 2 day(s) 17 hour(s) ago view page »

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Comment on: WalterFootball.com: NBA Picks Against the Spread
chucksteratdiffcomputer (Anonymous Poster)
I go 3-2 in picks last night in MLB which under usual circumstances would be fine.  Unfortunately,  the two loses were a closing par play on the Astros and a middle spot par loss with the Royals.  Both of these teams were at Home and  don't really know who I'm more disgusted with,  the Royals who are trying to catch their division leader and then play like a double A team against a very mediocre Tigers club. OR:  the second best team in baseball who for at least last nights game, forgot how to pitch......ARGG.  I do get a win win par last night, thank you Cubs and Indians.  Got to get back to work and see you fine folks later with some MLB  plays for today.
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07/18 03:56 AM EST 2 day(s) 23 hour(s) ago view page »

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National Basketball Association Picking Games
Reply on: WalterFootball.com: NBA Picks Against the Spread
Replying to...
fuqer 1392 Posts (3778 )
Tuesday Plays 7/18

»-D-Backs     RL  +122  (60.2%)
»-Cardinals         -113   (54.5%)
»-Tigers              +103 (57.0%)
»-Astros RL        +100  (63.9%) 

»-Rays/Athletics   Over 9     +102 (9.9)
»-Tigers/Royals    Over 10.5 -110 (10.8)
___________________________

Taking the D-Backs and Robbie Ray on the Road as long as they don't face a lefty on the Road, it's all good. The D-Backs should be motivated after losing the series vs the Braves and in the thick of the wild card chase. I considered the Under but both teams are off of rest so I'll prolly pass on that. Showing some decent value, and ignoring the fact the public will be on them.

Taking the Cardinals for the 3rd str8 day, I like the pitching match-up more than anything, even though Wacha can give up some runs on the Road, I'm showing value on the Under 9 +102 again but I don't like it that much with these pitchers. 

Taking the Tigers again vs a lefty who they've been hitting good, the Royals have been hitting better vs lefties as of late also but the Tigers still have a big advantage, FF might of been the better play. I'm taking the Over even though I only have them slightly going over the total because I do expect some runs to be put up on both sides in this one. And I also don't get many Over projections and they do pretty good when I get them, this was one of 3 for tomorrow and I only had one yesterday for the Rockies game which hit easily.

+0.9 is a pretty high difference for an over by my model and the Athletics have trended heavily to Overs at Home vs lefties this season, I think it's 9-3 SU and OU at Home vs lefties. They've faced better lefties than Snell, so they should be able to get him for some runs and the Rays are always a threat to knock one out and put up some runs. The series history looked pretty good on the Over as well, so I pulled the trigger.

________________________________________ ____

The Cubs at that price is very tempting, the line drop sort of scared me, but I think Newcomb will get lit up again like his last two starts and the Braves should score some of Lackey also, so the over doesn't seem too bad of an option.

The Phillies/Marlins Under is another one I kind of like but the price isn't good right now at -113, it should go down later if I want to play it. The combined ERA of the pitchers is 13.1, for awhile I was fading anything that was 2 runs over or under the total, with the idea that people look at the ERA's first and see such a high or low number and jump all over it. Those have been some of those wtf plays I have made over the last month, but they have done pretty decent. Two more like that today are the Astros and Reds because the combined ERA's are 6.9 and 7.5, making them Over plays, but I don't think the Under in those games are really going to be liked by the public much, so not contrarian.

I like the Pirates but the price is too high and I like the Phillies just a little.

The Reply:
fuqer 0 Posts (3778 )
         SDQL 7/18

ALL = Yesterday 1-4 (Total 18-25) 
SU =  Yesterday 1-2 (Total 11-7)  
OU =  Yesterday 0-2 (Total 7-18) 

Pre All-Star Break

ALL - (Total 441-346)
SU - (Total 223-171)
OU - (Total 218-185)
---------------------------------
SU

PLAY: The Astros are 23-0 SU as a favorite of more than 180 after they hit multiple home runs and it is after the All-Star break.

FADE: The Mariners (49-135 -35.7% ROI)

PLAY: The Tigers (538-378 +9.8% ROI)

FADE: The Royals (429-563 -12.4% ROI)

FADE: The Giants are 0-15 SU as a dog off a home game in which they did not draw a walk and it is not a series opener.

PLAY: The Orioles (47-23 +23.6% ROI)

PLAY: The Orioles are 22-3 SU since May 22, 2015 after a game as a home favorite in which they allowed 5+ walks.
------------
OU

UNDER: The Pirates are 0-17 OU off a home game after a win in which they had at least three times as many hits as runs and it is after the All-Star break

UNDER: Rangers/Orioles (43-24-3 +22.4% ROI)

OVER: Both teams off rest this season 63-37-7 OU +19.1% ROI.
(Dodgers/White Sox)

OVER: The Braves are 20-5 OU off a loss as a dog in which they held the lead.

UNDER: The Angels are 1-15-2 OU since Jun 22, 2016 vs a team that has won at least their last four games.
________________

SU  

Astros
Tigers
Indians
Orioles

OU  

Brewers/Pirates       Under
Rangers/Orioles       Under
Dodgers/White Sox  Over
Cubs/Braves           Over
Nationals/Angels     Under

___________________________________
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07/17 11:40 PM EST 3 day(s) 4 hour(s) ago view page »

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fuqer 0 Posts (3778 )
Tuesday Plays 7/18

»-D-Backs     RL  +122  (60.2%)
»-Cardinals         -113   (54.5%)
»-Tigers              +103 (57.0%)
»-Astros RL        +100  (63.9%) 

»-Rays/Athletics   Over 9     +102 (9.9)
»-Tigers/Royals    Over 10.5 -110 (10.8)
___________________________

Taking the D-Backs and Robbie Ray on the Road as long as they don't face a lefty on the Road, it's all good. The D-Backs should be motivated after losing the series vs the Braves and in the thick of the wild card chase. I considered the Under but both teams are off of rest so I'll prolly pass on that. Showing some decent value, and ignoring the fact the public will be on them.

Taking the Cardinals for the 3rd str8 day, I like the pitching match-up more than anything, even though Wacha can give up some runs on the Road, I'm showing value on the Under 9 +102 again but I don't like it that much with these pitchers. 

Taking the Tigers again vs a lefty who they've been hitting good, the Royals have been hitting better vs lefties as of late also but the Tigers still have a big advantage, FF might of been the better play. I'm taking the Over even though I only have them slightly going over the total because I do expect some runs to be put up on both sides in this one. And I also don't get many Over projections and they do pretty good when I get them, this was one of 3 for tomorrow and I only had one yesterday for the Rockies game which hit easily.

+0.9 is a pretty high difference for an over by my model and the Athletics have trended heavily to Overs at Home vs lefties this season, I think it's 9-3 SU and OU at Home vs lefties. They've faced better lefties than Snell, so they should be able to get him for some runs and the Rays are always a threat to knock one out and put up some runs. The series history looked pretty good on the Over as well, so I pulled the trigger.

________________________________________ ____

The Cubs at that price is very tempting, the line drop sort of scared me, but I think Newcomb will get lit up again like his last two starts and the Braves should score some of Lackey also, so the over doesn't seem too bad of an option.

The Phillies/Marlins Under is another one I kind of like but the price isn't good right now at -113, it should go down later if I want to play it. The combined ERA of the pitchers is 13.1, for awhile I was fading anything that was 2 runs over or under the total, with the idea that people look at the ERA's first and see such a high or low number and jump all over it. Those have been some of those wtf plays I have made over the last month, but they have done pretty decent. Two more like that today are the Astros and Reds because the combined ERA's are 6.9 and 7.5, making them Over plays, but I don't think the Under in those games are really going to be liked by the public much, so not contrarian.

I like the Pirates but the price is too high and I like the Phillies just a little.
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Travis (Anonymous Poster)

Sam Bradford is the most under rated quarterback in the NFL according to this site, but how good is he? Top 10? Top 5?

http://www.thirdand10.com/qb-profiles/sam-bradford/

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07/17 07:28 PM EST 3 day(s) 8 hour(s) ago view page »

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Travis (Anonymous Poster)

This new QB film study site says Rodgers had a better season than Brady last year. Agree or disagree?

t;http://www.thirdand10.com/qb-profiles/aaron-rodgers/

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07/17 07:27 PM EST 3 day(s) 8 hour(s) ago view page »

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Travis Wingfield (Anonymous Poster)

Stafford is so much fun to watch on film. Read about his 2016 season with grade and scouting report here.

http://www.thirdand10.com/qb-profiles/matt-stafford/

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07/17 07:26 PM EST 3 day(s) 8 hour(s) ago view page »

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Travis (Anonymous Poster)

Hard to believe the Redskins are going to botch the Kirk Cousins contact situation. He was pretty damn good according to this film study site.

http://www.thirdand10.com/qb-profiles/carson-wentz/

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07/17 07:25 PM EST 3 day(s) 8 hour(s) ago view page »

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Travis (Anonymous Poster)

After his promising start, Wentz fell off the face of the earth. Read his 2016 scouting report and grade here.

http://www.thirdand10.com/qb-profiles/carson-wentz/

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07/17 07:24 PM EST 3 day(s) 8 hour(s) ago view page »

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Travis (Anonymous Poster)

This QB film study site says Eli is vastly over rated. Agree or disagree?

t;http://www.thirdand10.com/qb-profiles/eli-manning/

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07/17 07:23 PM EST 3 day(s) 8 hour(s) ago view page »

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Travis (Anonymous Poster)

Dak was so damn good. Forget about all the help he had, kid balled. Read about his season here.

http://www.thirdand10.com/qb-profiles/dak-prescott/

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07/17 07:22 PM EST 3 day(s) 8 hour(s) ago view page »

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Travis (Anonymous Poster)

Not much of a surprise here as Brady is near the top again, but who beat him out in terms of film study grade in 2016?

http://www.thirdand10.com/qb-profiles/tom-brady/

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07/17 07:21 PM EST 3 day(s) 8 hour(s) ago view page »

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Travis (Anonymous Poster)

Taylor misses so many things other QBs do not. The Bills should move on according to this QB film study site.

http://www.thirdand10.com/qb-profiles/tyrod-taylor/

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07/17 07:20 PM EST 3 day(s) 8 hour(s) ago view page »

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Travis (Anonymous Poster)

Tannehill broke out if you go by the all 22 film and ignore volume stats. His scouting report is pretty good.

http://www.thirdand10.com/qb-profiles/ryan-tannehill/

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07/17 07:17 PM EST 3 day(s) 8 hour(s) ago view page »

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Travis (Anonymous Poster)

This QB film study site has a good write up about how potent the Raiders offense could be with Carr and company.

;http://www.thirdand10.com/qb-profiles/derek-carr/

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07/17 07:16 PM EST 3 day(s) 8 hour(s) ago view page »

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Travis (Anonymous Poster)

Smith gets so much flack despite being a damn good player. This film study site said he played pretty damn well in 2016.

http://www.thirdand10.com/qb-profiles/alex-smith/

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07/17 07:14 PM EST 3 day(s) 8 hour(s) ago view page »

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Travis (Anonymous Poster)

According to this QB film study site, Rivers had one of worst seasons in years. But there's no reason to think he can't bounce back

http://www.thirdand10.com/qb-profiles/phillip-rivers/

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07/17 07:14 PM EST 3 day(s) 8 hour(s) ago view page »

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Travis (Anonymous Poster)

They better go with Paxton. This QB film study site said that Siemian struggled with even the most basic aspects of playing QB in the NFL last year.

http://www.thirdand10.com/qb-profiles/trevor-siemian/

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07/17 07:13 PM EST 3 day(s) 8 hour(s) ago view page »

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Travis (Anonymous Poster)

It's unheard of how bad Goff was as the first pick in the draft. Well on his way to Jamarcus Russell status according to this QB film study site.

http://www.thirdand10.com/qb-profiles/jared-goff/

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07/17 07:12 PM EST 3 day(s) 8 hour(s) ago view page »

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Travis (Anonymous Poster)

Wilson is so impressive on film. Read about his 2016 season, his season grade and all the other QBs on this brand new film study site.

http://www.thirdand10.com/qb-profiles/russell-wilson/

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07/17 07:11 PM EST 3 day(s) 8 hour(s) ago view page »

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Travis (Anonymous Poster)

Palmer's down year was more about lack of protection. Palmer still had it last year, according to this QB film study site.

http://www.thirdand10.com/qb-profiles/carson-palmer/

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07/17 07:10 PM EST 3 day(s) 8 hour(s) ago view page »

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Travis (Anonymous Poster)

Mariota is on the verge of being great, but he needs to clean up his mechanics and some other things. Read about his 2016 film study grade and scouting report.

http://www.thirdand10.com/qb-profiles/marcus-mariota/

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07/17 07:08 PM EST 3 day(s) 8 hour(s) ago view page »

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Travis (Anonymous Poster)

Is this Bortles last year? If he repeats his performance from last year, this advanced QB film study site thinks so.

http://www.thirdand10.com/qb-profiles/blake-bortles/

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07/17 07:07 PM EST 3 day(s) 8 hour(s) ago view page »

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Travis (Anonymous Poster)

Luck's 2015 was concerning, but he bounced back with a  terrific 2016. Read about his great season and all the other QBs on this brand new film study website.

;http://www.thirdand10.com/qb-profiles/andrew-luck/

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Travis (Anonymous Poster)

Winston is on his way to being great, but he's not there yet. This site grades him middle of the pack in their scouting report.

http://www.thirdand10.com/qb-profiles/jameis-winston/

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07/17 07:05 PM EST 3 day(s) 8 hour(s) ago view page »

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Travis (Anonymous Poster)

Drew Brees is so damn good. Consistently posts gaudy stats, but his film study is even more impressive. Check out his grade and scouting report.

http://www.thirdand10.com/qb-profiles/drew-brees/

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07/17 07:04 PM EST 3 day(s) 8 hour(s) ago view page »

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Travis (Anonymous Poster)

Cam Newton's "down year" had more to do with his surrounding talent according to this QB film study site.

http://www.thirdand10.com/qb-profiles/cam-newton/

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07/17 07:03 PM EST 3 day(s) 8 hour(s) ago view page »

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Travis (Anonymous Poster)

Was Matt Ryan the best QB in the NFL last year? He was neck and neck with two others according to this QB film study site.

http://www.thirdand10.com/qb-profiles/matt-ryan/

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07/17 07:01 PM EST 3 day(s) 8 hour(s) ago view page »

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Travis (Anonymous Poster)

Big Ben's retirement talk may have had something to do with hi having a down year. This QB film study site said he wasn't very good last year.

http://www.thirdand10.com/qb-profiles/ben-roethlisberger/

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07/17 07:00 PM EST 3 day(s) 8 hour(s) ago view page »

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Travis (Anonymous Poster)

Really hope Kessler gets a fair shake at the starting job. He improved and played well according to this QB film study site.

http://www.thirdand10.com/qb-profiles/cody-kessler/

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07/17 06:59 PM EST 3 day(s) 8 hour(s) ago view page »

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Travis (Anonymous Poster)

You have to wonder if they think about cutting ties with Dalton and perhaps give McCarron a contract this off-season. Dalton was pretty bad according to this film study site.

http://www.thirdand10.com/qb-profiles/andy-dalton/

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07/17 06:55 PM EST 3 day(s) 8 hour(s) ago view page »

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Travis (Anonymous Poster)
Flacco is a seriously problem. He graded poorly and needs to clean up his sloppy mechanics. Film review of his 2016 season here.

http://www.thirdand10.com/qb-profiles/joe-flacco/
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fuqer 0 Posts (3777 )

Monday Plays 7/17

»-Cardinals   +104
»-Tigers        +114
»-Red Sox     -103

»-Phillies/Marlins    Under 9 -108
»-Mariners/Astros   Under 9 +102
»-Cardinals/Mets     Under 9 -113
»-Cubs/Braves        Under 9 -101
___________________________

Behind today and didn't play anything until about an hour ago so I didn't get the best numbers and I almost forgot to post here again. Won both my total plays yesterday, lost my side plays in the bottom of the ninth, that's been the theme this season.

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chucksteratdiffcomputer (Anonymous Poster)
Another good night in baseball, I go 4-1 (again) in choices.  Friggin Brewers should be Ashamed of themselves losing to a pretty bad team in Philadelphia and the Brew crew was at Home to boot...ARGG.  Anyway I'm short on time so here goes for today:  Closing a win win par from last night with the Astros -210, hedging for 25 percent on on  the comeback.  Start up pars with Nats -144, Royals -133, one open.  Another:  Cubs -152,  Indians -123, one open.  GL to all today.  Past two days I am 8-2 in ml baseball  play, can't last but gonna enjoy the trip!!
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wf3_mar (Anonymous Poster)
Jamal Crawford grade?
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Come On Now (Anonymous Poster)

@weekend warrior 

i guess any other "swiss army type guy" (that i thinknof anyway) was a value because they werent a first rounder. Josh Cribbs, Joe Webb, Darren Sproles, Kordell Stewart, julian edelman, possibly mike Vrabel(but im too lazy to look up draft status) . Keanu Neal i dont recall being considered a LB, but could be wrong. I guess like Neal or buchannon in AZ could develop into that. I guess its a risk to take on a guy who is a jack of all, master of none.


The Reply:
weekend warrior (Anonymous Poster)
@comeon....actually a few players were " swiss army" guys this draft  C. McCaffrey for example...don`t get me wrong..I think he will be great for the Panthers...the Safety O. Melifonwu was considered a 1st rounder and slipped to the 2nd... in the draft grade he received...his swiss army label was a positive one... latest news from camps is that the Browns LOVE Peppers...he fits the M. Barron role their new def coach loves...they want to use him in the return game....AND play offense...we`ll see if those reports are true but the Browns should play him as much as possible...he`s an electric player.
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